Match Info

Date: 11 September 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas (Santa Cruz)


	Oriente Petrolero		Universitario de Sucre

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.75	12
	1.22	5.75	9.25
	1.2	5.5	10.5
	1.23	5.6	9.6
	1.28	5.57	10.3
	1.24	5.75	9.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.65)	5.65 ↑ (3.27)	10.26 ↑ (4.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oriente Petrolero
74.7%

Draw
16.3%

Universitario de Sucre
9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

27.5%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

26.5%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oriente Petrolero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oriente Petrolero's performance.

Universitario de Sucre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Universitario de Sucre might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oriente Petrolero than the current prediction. (-18.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oriente Petrolero that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Sucre than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universitario de Sucre could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.4%	0%	13.6%

Oriente Petrolero - Universitario de Sucre Predictions

Users Predictions: Oriente Petrolero will win (19 of 22 users predict this - 86.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.02% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 6 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Oriente Petrolero won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Universitario could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Oriente Petrolero is certain favorite.

Last 31 head-to-head matches Oriente Petrolero won 13 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 38-32.

Including matches at home between the teams Oriente Petrolero won 9 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 24-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oriente Petrolero
Bolivian Division Profesional
08.09.22	The Strongest - Oriente Petrolero	2:1 ✺
05.09.22	Oriente Petrolero - Aurora	2:1 ✺
31.08.22	Always Ready - Oriente Petrolero	3:0 ✺
28.08.22	Oriente Petrolero - Nacional Potosí	4:0 ✺
23.08.22	Oriente Petrolero - Universitario de Vinto	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLWT
- Universitario de Sucre
Bolivian Division Profesional
07.09.22	Universitario de Sucre - Real Santa Cruz	3:1 ✺
03.09.22	Real Tomayapo - Universitario de Sucre	1:1 ✺
30.08.22	Universitario de Sucre - Bolívar	2:3 ✺
27.08.22	Blooming - Universitario de Sucre	1:1 ✺
24.08.22	Universitario de Sucre - Vinto Atlético Palmaflor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
05.07.22	Universitario de Sucre - Oriente Petrolero	2:0
11.05.22	Universitario de Sucre - Oriente Petrolero	1:1
03.03.22	Oriente Petrolero - Universitario de Sucre	1:0
24.10.18	Universitario de Sucre - Oriente Petrolero	2:1
25.07.18	Oriente Petrolero - Universitario de Sucre	2:0
14.04.18	Universitario de Sucre - Oriente Petrolero	1:1
26.02.18	Oriente Petrolero - Universitario de Sucre	4:2

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