The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Oriente Petrolero 50.9%
Draw 25.3%
Nacional Potosí 23.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
49.4%
25%
25.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.6%
24.4%
25%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oriente Petrolero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
Nacional Potosí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oriente Petrolero than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Potosí than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Oriente Petrolero - Nacional Potosí Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Bernal J. (G) 23. Rojas J. 3. Mizael Monteiro 44. Lopez F. 42. Roca D. 20. Lovera J. (C) 11. Vaca L. 77. Herrera J. 91. Nacif N. 7. Flores J. 29. Escobar J.
1. Arauz E. (G) 34. Medina K. 5. Alvarez S. 22. Hoyos D. (C) 16. Torrico A. 21. Baldomar O. 20. Cano E. 33. Demiquel L. 7. Solis M. 99. Villalba D. 27. Abastoflor C.
Substitutes
51. Alba A. (G) 21. Aponte M. 4. Bonilla M. 31. Justiniano G. 18. Mamani B. 19. Perez F. 6. Rodriguez D. 33. Saucedo C. 8. Siles O. 14. Taborga E. 35. Vaca J. 28. Velasco J.
19. Alvarez W. 15. Arce Pari J. 2. Avila R. 18. Azogue P. 23. Galindo P. (G) 14. Juan Batista 30. Martinez Y. 25. Orellana J. 28. Pena S. 26. Quiroz K. 9. Tobar T. 11. Tomianovic M.
Coaches
Florentin G.
Gutierrez D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Herrera J. ⚽, Escobar J. (A),
37', Herrera J. ↓, Siles O. ↑,
38', 2 - 0, Escobar J. ⚽, Flores J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Cano E. ↓, Azogue P. ↑,
46', Villalba D. ↓, Tobar T. ↑,
46', Medina K. ↓, Arce Pari J. ↑,
46', Solis M. ↓, Orellana J. ↑,
47', Abastoflor C. 🟨,
51', Lovera J. 🟨,
51', Siles O. 🟨,
53', Demiquel L. 🟨,
56', Flores J. (Penalty Awarded),
56', 3 - 0, Flores J. ⚽,
57', Flores J. 🟨,
70', 3 - 1, Hoyos D. ⚽, Orellana J. (A),
73', 3 - 2, Hoyos D. ⚽, Torrico A. (A),
75', Flores J. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
76', Nacif N. ↓, Saucedo C. ↑,
87', Demiquel L. ↓, Tomianovic M. ↑,
89', Abastoflor C. 🟥,
Preview
First leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oriente Petrolero won 1.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Nacional Potosí could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Oriente Petrolero is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Oriente Petrolero has recorded 6 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 31:36 (averaging 1.6:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Oriente Petrolero against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 5 draws, and 1 loss, with 20:11 goals (averaging 1.8:1 per game).
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Watch
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Bernal J. (G) 
Mizael Monteiro 
Lopez F. 
Escobar J. 
Villalba D. 
Tobar T. 
Florentin G. 
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