Match Info

Date: 12 April 2022, Tuesday


	Oriente Petrolero		Unión Santa Fe

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.2	1.9
	4.2	3.2	1.9
	3.85	3.2	1.96	Watch
	4.1	3.05	1.89
	4.38	3.32	1.93
	3.9	3	1.95	Watch
	4.1	3.2	1.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.18 ↑ (2.85)	3.17 ↓ (3.2)	1.92 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oriente Petrolero
22.2%

Draw
29.4%

Unión Santa Fe
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

28.6%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

29%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oriente Petrolero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oriente Petrolero's form might have worsened.

Unión Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Unión Santa Fe's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oriente Petrolero than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oriente Petrolero, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Unión Santa Fe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.9%	19.4%	66.7%

Oriente Petrolero - Unión Santa Fe Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Oriente Petrolero will win (votes: 5 - 13.9%). Unión will win (votes: 24 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 19.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Unión: 51.3% – 82.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Unión Santa Fe will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oriente Petrolero
Bolivian Division Profesional
09.04.22	Oriente Petrolero - Nacional Potosí	4:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
06.04.22	Fluminense - Oriente Petrolero	3:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
02.04.22	Real Santa Cruz - Oriente Petrolero	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
15.03.22	Oriente Petrolero - Royal Pari	3:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
12.03.22	Oriente Petrolero - Blooming	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLWL
- Unión Santa Fe
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
09.04.22	Unión Santa Fe - Newells Old Boys	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
06.04.22	Unión Santa Fe - Junior Barranquilla	1:1 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
01.04.22	Patronato Parana - Unión Santa Fe	2:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
23.03.22	Unión Santa Fe - Sportivo Las Parejas	2:1 penalties ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
19.03.22	Colón - Unión Santa Fe	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTLWT

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