Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 21

Date: 2 February 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Spain	17:00	Footballclub


	Orihuela		Xerez Deportivo

	1	X	2
	1.98	2.8	3.9
	1.99	2.8	4.1
	2.12	2.82	4.41
	1.99	2.84	4.28
	2.03	3.23	3.75
	1.99	2.8	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.06)	2.88 ↑ (2.76)	4.09 ↑ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orihuela
45.6%

Draw
31.9%

Xerez Deportivo
22.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.4%

33.2%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

28.4%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orihuela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Xerez Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orihuela than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Orihuela that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xerez Deportivo than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Orihuela - Xerez Deportivo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Pitu ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Orihuela is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Xerez Deportivo has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Xerez Deportivo have a series of home games.

In this match Orihuela is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Orihuela won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orihuela CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
26.01.25	Don Benito - Orihuela	0:0 ✺
19.01.25	Orihuela - Minera	0:1 ✺
12.01.25	San Fernando - Orihuela	1:0 ✺
22.12.24	Almeria B - Orihuela	1:0 ✺
15.12.24	Orihuela - Antoniano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLLT
- Xerez Deportivo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
26.01.25	Xerez Deportivo - Cadiz CF B	0:1 ✺
19.01.25	Juventud de Torremolinos - Xerez Deportivo	2:1 ✺
12.01.25	Xerez Deportivo - Estepona	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
04.01.25	Xerez Deportivo - Betis B	1:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
22.12.24	Xerez Deportivo - UCAM Murcia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
22.09.24	Xerez Deportivo - Orihuela	2:2

Orihuela - Xerez Deportivo