Match Info

CROATIA: PRVA NL - ROUND 33

Date: 3 June 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadion Krimeja (Rijeka)


	Orijent		Hrvatski Dragovoljac

	1	X	2
	1.44	4	6
	1.43	4	5.75
	1.42	4.62	6.29
	1.4	4.5	6.65
	1.45	4	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.5)	4.22 ↑ (4)	6.1 ↑ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orijent
63.6%

Draw
21.5%

Hrvatski Dragovoljac
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

22.5%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

14.8%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orijent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Hrvatski Dragovoljac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orijent than the current prediction. (-24.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Orijent that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hrvatski Dragovoljac than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hrvatski Dragovoljac could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Orijent - Hrvatski Dragovoljac Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Mohorovic P. (G) 2. Braut F. 4. Mulac D. 22. Milanovic A. 28. Tadejevic M. 6. Lazar F. 23. Putnik M. 16. Faal B. 21. Zrilic F. 20. Simcic D. 17. Monjac M.	97. Tuta A. (G) 16. Luo H. 3. Salajster D. 18. Uwem A. 15. Cabrajic K. 23. Pobi F. 7. Iskric D. 29. Cavar B. 19. Filipovic J. 13. Amoateng S. 24. Zdunic B.
Substitutes
10. Crnko E. 7. Fatic E. 9. Ibishi D. 8. Macolic N. 19. Mohorovicic N. 3. Sencar K. 11. Svrljuga A. 1. Tanjic M. (G) 18. Travaglia E.	12. Debijadi J. (G) 2. Jelaca D. 17. Pavlina D. 35. Soplanda M.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Orijent won 3.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Hrvatski Dragovoljac could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Orijent is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Orijent won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Orijent won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HNK Orijent 1919
Croatian Prva NL
27.05.23	Vukovar 91 - Orijent	2:0 ✺
20.05.23	Orijent - Bijelo Brdo	0:1 ✺
13.05.23	Cibalia - Orijent	3:2 ✺
05.05.23	Orijent - Kustošija	2:0 ✺
01.05.23	Solin - Orijent	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLWT
- NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac
Croatian Prva NL
26.05.23	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Bijelo Brdo	0:2 ✺
22.05.23	Kustošija - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	3:0 ✺
12.05.23	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Croatia Zmijavci	2:2 ✺
06.05.23	Jarun Zagreb - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	3:2 ✺
28.04.23	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Rudeš	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Prva NL
04.03.23	Orijent - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	2:0
07.10.22	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Orijent	1:2
29.05.21	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Orijent	1:1
12.12.20	Orijent - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	2:3
Club Friendly
18.07.20	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Orijent	0:2
Croatian Prva NL
09.11.19	Orijent - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	0:0

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