The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Orlando City B 43%
Draw 24.7%
Toronto FC II 32.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.1%
24.6%
32.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.1%
25.1%
31.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orlando City B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
The chances for Toronto FC II have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlando City B than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto FC II than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Orlando City B - Toronto FC II Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
40. Himes T. (C) 52. Amoo-Mensah P. 72. Okonski L. 21. Miller N. 33. Archange C. 38. Haruna I. 80. Gomez I. 70. Hylton J. 23. Sarajian H. 65. Caraballo G. 90. Pedro Leao
77. De Rosario A. (G) 58. Stojadinovic M. 75. Fisher R. 89. Mikina G. 96. Chukwu R. 93. Dixon D. 82. Boneau B. (C) 86. Salaou A. 79. Bank F. 64. Nolan J. 87. Dawson L.
Substitutes
66. Belgodere M. 75. Bobea N. 51. Kendall B. 58. Lasheras N. 99. Rojas J. (G) 36. Titus Jr S. 59. Trombino C.
91. Barrow D. 69. Blyth T. 65. Campbell-Dennis R. 73. Chisholm M. 74. Costabile L. 84. Khodri E. 80. Nakhly Z. (G) 72. Stampatori D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
1', Salaou A. 🟨,
7', Miller N. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Gomez I. ⚽, Haruna I. (A),
30', Caraballo G. 🟨,
43', 2 - 0, Caraballo G. ⚽, Sarajian H. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', 3 - 0, Sarajian H. ⚽, Haruna I. (A),
66', Caraballo G. ↓, Belgodere M. ↑,
69', Mikina G. ↓, Campbell-Dennis R. ↑,
69', Nolan J. ↓, Khodri E. ↑,
69', Dawson L. ↓, Barrow D. ↑,
77', Sarajian H. ↓, Kendall B. ↑,
77', Pedro Leao ↓, Lasheras N. ↑,
81', Dixon D. ↓, Stampatori D. ↑,
81', Chukwu R. ↓, Chisholm M. ↑,
85', 3 - 1, Khodri E. (Penalty Awarded),
89', Haruna I. ↓, Trombino C. ↑,
89', Hylton J. ↓, Bobea N. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, OCB won 1.
In recent matches, OCB has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Toronto II is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
OCB may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, OCB has had a series of away games.
Recently, Toronto II has had a series of home games.
OCB will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, OCB won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 1.3:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, OCB won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.6:1.6).
Last Results with these Odds
Toronto FC II - the odds 2.83 are the expected chance of winning is 32.31%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.