Match Info

CAF Champions League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 9 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: Orlando Stadium (Johannesburg)

Referee: Traore K. (Ivo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport PSL, Supersport WWE
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	SportKlub 5
Israel	5 LIVE Israel
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Portugal	Sport TV2
Serbia	Arena Sport 5, SportKlub 5
Slovenia	SportKlub 6
South-africa	SABC 3, SABC Plus, SABC Sport, SuperSport PSL, SuperSport Variety 4, SuperSport WWE
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz


	Orlando Pirates		MC Alger

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.25	5.5	Watch
	1.88	2.87	4.1
	1.75	3.25	5	Watch
	1.78	3.13	5.43	Watch
	1.95	2.8	4.33
	1.73	3.13	5.42	Watch
	1.75	3.25	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.79)	3.1 ↑ (2.81)	4.97 ↑ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orlando Pirates
51.5%

Draw
29.9%

MC Alger
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

31.2%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

29.4%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orlando Pirates has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

MC Alger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlando Pirates than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MC Alger than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	13.3%	13.3%

Orlando Pirates - MC Alger Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Orlando Pirates will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). MC Alger will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Orlando Pirates: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.75, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - MC Alger (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Orlando Pirates will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Orlando Pirates (votes: 7 - 77.8%). MC Alger (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Chaine S. (G) 30. van Rooyen D. 27. Xoki T. 5. Sibisi N. 38. Mbokazi M. 16. Mbatha T. 3. Mofokeng R. 8. Makhaula M. 33. Nkota M. 17. Makgopa E. 7. Hotto D.	16. Moussaoui T. (G) 5. Abdellaoui A. 19. Ghezala A. 8. Draoui Z. 3. Khelif M. 6. Benkhemassa M. 20. Halaimia M. 24. Naidji Z. 35. Bangoura M. 21. Tabti L. 38. Bouras A.
Substitutes
1. Buthelezi M. N. (G) 19. Mabasa T. 23. Maela I. 29. Mako P. 10. Maswanganyi P. 15. Ndlondlo N. 36. Radiopane B. 31. Rasebotja S. 26. Shandu B.	7. Bayazid S. 30. Belkhir S. E. (G) 39. Boussaid M. 17. Hamidi K. 27. Menezla A. 18. Merzougui K. 37. Messoussa A. 12. Zougrana M. 22. Zunon K.
Coaches
Riveiro J.	Ben Yahia K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Makhaula M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
68', Tabti L. ↓, Zunon K. ↑,
68', Naidji Z. ↓, Zougrana M. ↑,
70', Nkota M. ↓, Maswanganyi P. ↑,
70', Mbatha T. ↓, Ndlondlo N. ↑,
75', Abdellaoui A. ↓, Menezla A. ↑,
75', Bangoura M. ↓, Bayazid S. ↑,
83', Makgopa E. ↓, Mabasa T. ↑,
90+2', Bouras A. 🟨,
90+4', Ndlondlo N. 🟨,
90+9', Abdellaoui A. 🟨,
90+9', Mofokeng R. 🟨,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-0.

Orlando Pirates is Qualified for CAF Champions League (Play Offs )

Orlando Pirates in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

MC Alger is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

MC Alger could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Orlando Pirates have a series of guest games.

Orlando Pirates will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Orlando Pirates won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orlando Pirates
South African Premier Soccer League
05.04.25	Polokwane City - Orlando Pirates	0:1 ✺
CAF Champions League
01.04.25	MC Alger - Orlando Pirates	0:1 ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
16.03.25	Orlando Pirates - Mamelodi Sundowns	2:1 ✺
11.03.25	Stellenbosch - Orlando Pirates	0:0 ✺
South African Nedbank Cup
08.03.25	Supersport United - Orlando Pirates	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWTW
- MC Alger
CAF Champions League
01.04.25	MC Alger - Orlando Pirates	0:1 ✺
Algerian Ligue 1
15.03.25	MC Alger - Khenchela	2:2 ✺
06.03.25	Oran - MC Alger	0:2 ✺
28.02.25	MC Alger - Constantine	2:1 ✺
23.02.25	Paradou - MC Alger	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

CAF Champions League
01.04.25	MC Alger - Orlando Pirates	0:1

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