Match Info

Diski Challenge - Round 30

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday


	Orlando Pirates U23		Mamelodi Sundowns U23

	1	X	2
	2.03	3.28	3.06
	2.12	3.21	3.23	Watch
	2.05	3	3.1
	2.06	3.3	3.19
	2.4	3.8	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.4)	3.32 ↓ (3.85)	3 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orlando Pirates U23
42.5%

Draw
27.3%

Mamelodi Sundowns U23
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

23.7%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

24.1%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orlando Pirates U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Mamelodi Sundowns U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mamelodi Sundowns U23 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando Pirates U23 than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mamelodi Sundowns U23 than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mamelodi Sundowns U23 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Orlando Pirates U23 - Mamelodi Sundowns U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 and 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando Pirates U23 won 2.

Orlando Pirates U23 is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Mamelodi U23 is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Recently, Orlando Pirates U23 has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Orlando Pirates U23 won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1.8:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Orlando Pirates U23 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.8:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Orlando Pirates U23	3	1	0	2	7:6	1	3
8	Mamelodi Sundowns U23	2	1	0	1	6:6	0	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orlando Pirates U23
South African Diski Challenge
02.05.26	Chippa United U23 - Orlando Pirates U23	0:2 ✺
25.04.26	Magesi U23 - Orlando Pirates U23	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Orlando Pirates U23 - AmaZulu U23	0:3 ✺
12.04.26	Richards Bay U23 - Orlando Pirates U23	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Stellenbosch U23 - Orlando Pirates U23	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLWW
- Mamelodi Sundowns U23
South African Diski Challenge
03.05.26	Mamelodi Sundowns U23 - Kaizer Chiefs U23	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Richards Bay U23 - Mamelodi Sundowns U23	0:2 ✺
21.04.26	Polokwane U23 - Mamelodi Sundowns U23	1:3 ✺
18.04.26	Mamelodi Sundowns U23 - Chippa United U23	3:2 ✺
11.04.26	Mamelodi Sundowns U23 - Stellenbosch U23	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

South African Diski Challenge
01.11.25	Mamelodi Sundowns U23 - Orlando Pirates U23	1:5
19.04.25	Orlando Pirates U23 - Mamelodi Sundowns U23	0:1
12.01.25	Mamelodi Sundowns U23 - Orlando Pirates U23	2:1
11.02.24	Mamelodi Sundowns U23 - Orlando Pirates U23	1:0
14.01.24	Orlando Pirates U23 - Mamelodi Sundowns U23	4:1
29.04.23	Orlando Pirates U23 - Mamelodi Sundowns U23	2:1
21.01.23	Mamelodi Sundowns U23 - Orlando Pirates U23	4:2

Orlando Pirates U23 - Mamelodi Sundowns U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide