Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 17

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday


	Orvietana		Terranuova Traiana

	1	X	2
	2.08	3	3.4
	1.98	3.16	3.68	Watch
	1.95	3	3.5
	1.93	3.39	3.91
	1.94	3.14	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.22)	3.14 ↓ (3.15)	3.65 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orvietana
46.1%

Draw
29%

Terranuova Traiana
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

29%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

30.2%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orvietana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Terranuova Traiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orvietana than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Terranuova Traiana than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Orvietana - Terranuova Traiana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', 1 - 0, Berardi A. ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: ) and 6).

Orvietana has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Terranuova Traiana is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Orvietana won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Orvietana won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Orvietana - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.11%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orvietana Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group E
14.12.25	Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro - Orvietana	2:2 ✺
07.12.25	Orvietana - Follonica Gavorrano	0:0 ✺
30.11.25	Scandicci - Orvietana	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Orvietana - Poggibonsi	4:0 ✺
16.11.25	Cannara - Orvietana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TTTWT
- Terranuova Traiana
Italian Serie D - Group E
14.12.25	Terranuova Traiana - Tau Altopascio	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Camaiore - Terranuova Traiana	0:1 ✺
30.11.25	Terranuova Traiana - Montevarchi	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Trestina - Terranuova Traiana	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Terranuova Traiana - Seravezza Pozzi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
30.03.25	Orvietana - Terranuova Traiana	1:1
12.03.23	Terranuova Traiana - Orvietana	0:1
06.11.22	Orvietana - Terranuova Traiana	2:0

Orvietana - Terranuova Traiana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide