Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 15

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday


	Orvietana		Follonica Gavorrano

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	2.82
	2.22	3.59	2.74	Watch
	2.25	3.35	2.79
	2.22	3.4	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.29)	3.41 ↓ (3.45)	2.79 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orvietana
40.8%

Draw
26.6%

Follonica Gavorrano
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

26.5%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

27.1%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orvietana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Follonica Gavorrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orvietana than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Follonica Gavorrano than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Orvietana - Follonica Gavorrano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orvietana won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Orvietana won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Orvietana won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orvietana Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group E
30.11.25	Scandicci - Orvietana	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Orvietana - Poggibonsi	4:0 ✺
16.11.25	Cannara - Orvietana	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Orvietana - Tau Altopascio	0:2 ✺
02.11.25	Orvietana - Trestina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TWTLL
- Follonica Gavorrano
Italian Serie D - Group E
30.11.25	Follonica Gavorrano - Trestina	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Camaiore - Follonica Gavorrano	1:4 ✺
16.11.25	Follonica Gavorrano - Grosseto	2:4 ✺
09.11.25	Montevarchi - Follonica Gavorrano	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Follonica Gavorrano - Foligno	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
17.04.25	Follonica Gavorrano - Orvietana	1:4
08.12.24	Orvietana - Follonica Gavorrano	0:1
21.01.24	Follonica Gavorrano - Orvietana	2:1
24.09.23	Orvietana - Follonica Gavorrano	0:0
12.02.23	Orvietana - Follonica Gavorrano	1:2
09.10.22	Follonica Gavorrano - Orvietana	4:1

Orvietana - Follonica Gavorrano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide