Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 16

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday


	Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro		Orvietana

	1	X	2
	3.15	2.92	2.22
	3.33	2.81	2.22
	3.35	2.89	2.23	Watch
	3.25	2.7	2.25
	3.3	2.92	2.2
	3.4	2.8	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (2.47)	2.84 ↓ (3.43)	2.22 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
27.4%

Draw
31.9%

Orvietana
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

26.4%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

26.5%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro's form might have worsened.

Orvietana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orvietana than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro - Orvietana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Bocci N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
66', 1 - 1, ⚽,
68', 1 - 2, ⚽,
72', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: ) and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )).

Sansepolcro has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Orvietana has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sansepolcro won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
Italian Serie D - Group E
07.12.25	Trestina - Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro - Grosseto	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	Montevarchi - Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro - Foligno	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Seravezza Pozzi - Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLTWL
- Orvietana Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group E
07.12.25	Orvietana - Follonica Gavorrano	0:0 ✺
30.11.25	Scandicci - Orvietana	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Orvietana - Poggibonsi	4:0 ✺
16.11.25	Cannara - Orvietana	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Orvietana - Tau Altopascio	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
14.01.24	Orvietana - Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro	0:0

Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro - Orvietana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide