Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 18

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Oryol		Kvant Obninsk

	1	X	2
	1.54	3.44	6.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.49)	3.44 ↓ (3.48)	6.48 ↓ (6.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oryol
59.3%

Draw
26.6%

Kvant Obninsk
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

26.1%

13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63%

25.2%

12.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oryol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Kvant Obninsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oryol than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kvant Obninsk than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Oryol - Kvant Obninsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', 1 - 0, Bugaenko I. ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, Demidov A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+2', 2 - 1, Ushakov E. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Oryol is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Kvant is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Oryol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Kvant has had a series of home games.

In this match, Oryol is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Oryol won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:2. (average 3:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Oryol won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Oryol	26	8	5	13	29:44	-15	29
16	Kvant	26	1	5	20	25:72	-47	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Oryol
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
01.08.26	Salyut Belgorod - Oryol	3:0 ✺
Russian Cup
28.07.26	2DROTS Moscow - Oryol	2:0 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
25.07.26	Oryol - Saturn Ramenskoye	0:4 ✺
04.07.26	Oryol - Metallurg Lipetsk	0:2 ✺
27.06.26	Zenit Penza - Oryol	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Kvant Obninsk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
01.08.26	Kvant Obninsk - Rodina Moscow 3	1:4 ✺
25.07.26	Kvant Obninsk - Metallurg Lipetsk	2:2 ✺
04.07.26	Kvant Obninsk - Arsenal 2 Tula	3:1 ✺
27.06.26	Strogino Moskva - Kvant Obninsk	3:1 ✺
20.06.26	Kvant Obninsk - SKA Khabarovsk 2	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
18.04.26	Kvant Obninsk - Oryol	1:5
11.10.25	Oryol - Kvant Obninsk	5:0
21.06.25	Kvant Obninsk - Oryol	0:1
01.07.24	Kvant Obninsk - Oryol	1:1

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