Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 14

Date: 27 June 2026, Saturday


	Zenit Penza		Oryol

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.3	2.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↑ (2.33)	3.3 ↑ (3.08)	2.13 ↓ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zenit Penza
28.5%

Draw
28.1%

Oryol
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

29.5%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

29.7%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zenit Penza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zenit Penza's form might have worsened.

Oryol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oryol's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zenit Penza than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zenit Penza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oryol than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oryol, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Zenit Penza - Oryol Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Rodionov A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
54', 2 - 0, Poptsov M. ⚽,
58', 3 - 0, Kolesin N. (Penalty Awarded),
81', 3 - 1, Arsentjev D. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zenit Penza won 1.

Zenit Penza is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Oryol has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Zenit Penza won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 0.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Zenit Penza won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Oryol	26	8	5	13	29:44	-15	29
12	Penza	26	7	4	15	25:48	-23	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zenit Penza
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
20.06.26	Rodina Moscow 3 - Zenit Penza	9:1 ✺
13.06.26	Zenit Penza - Metallurg Lipetsk	2:3 ✺
06.06.26	Saturn Ramenskoye - Zenit Penza	1:0 ✺
31.05.26	Arsenal 2 Tula - Zenit Penza	1:1 ✺
23.05.26	Zenit Penza - Strogino Moskva	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLLTW
- FC Oryol
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
20.06.26	Oryol - Arsenal 2 Tula	4:1 ✺
13.06.26	Strogino Moskva - Oryol	2:3 ✺
06.06.26	Oryol - SKA Khabarovsk 2	1:1 ✺
31.05.26	Shumbrat Saransk - Oryol	2:0 ✺
23.05.26	Oryol - Spartak Tambov	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
31.08.25	Oryol - Zenit Penza	1:0
10.05.25	Zenit Penza - Oryol	3:1
18.08.24	Oryol - Zenit Penza	1:0
05.05.24	Zenit Penza - Oryol	0:1
Russian PFL Center
23.10.16	Oryol - Zenit Penza	3:1
28.07.16	Zenit Penza - Oryol	0:0
30.05.16	Oryol - Zenit Penza	0:1

Zenit Penza - Oryol: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide