Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 16

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Grupo Desportivo Peniche (Peniche)


	Peniche		Lajense

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.05	3.1
	2.21	2.97	3.16
	2.2	3.07	3.19	Watch
	2.2	2.9	3
	2.21	2.97	3.2
	2.25	3	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (1.99)	2.99 ↓ (3.23)	3.11 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peniche
40.9%

Draw
30.1%

Lajense
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

27.9%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

26.5%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peniche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Lajense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peniche than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Peniche, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lajense than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Peniche - Lajense Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Peniche (1.91) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Peniche (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+8', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 9).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Peniche may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Peniche will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GD Peniche
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
17.01.26	Peniche - Oliveira Hospital	0:0 ✺
10.01.26	Marinhense - Peniche	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	SC Lusitânia - Peniche	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Peniche - União da Serra	3:2 ✺
07.12.25	SB Castelo Branco - Peniche	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TTTWL
- JD Lajense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
17.01.26	Lajense - Vitória de Sernache	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Oliveira Hospital - Lajense	2:0 ✺
21.12.25	Os Marialvas - Lajense	2:2 ✺
13.12.25	Lajense - Marinhense	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Lajense - Naval	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TLTWL

Peniche - Lajense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide