Match Info

J3 League - Round 32

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Ashitaka Park Stadium (Numazu)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Azul Claro Numazu		Osaka

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.85	3.45	1.75
	4.13	3.73	1.81
	8.93	5.42	1.28	Watch
	4.12	3.45	1.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.26 ↑ (3.79)	4.01 ↑ (3.32)	1.65 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Azul Claro Numazu
18.2%

Draw
23.9%

Osaka
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.9%

27.3%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

27.4%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Azul Claro Numazu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Azul Claro Numazu's form might have worsened.

Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Osaka's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Azul Claro Numazu than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Azul Claro Numazu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osaka than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Osaka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Azul Claro Numazu - Osaka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Gueguim G. (G) 28. Inoue K. 34. Miyazaki K. 7. Numata K. 16. Mihara S. 71. Watanabe R. 14. Tokunaga K. 10. Sato N. 24. Yanagimachi K. 11. Mori Y. 23. Shirawachi K.	1. Yamamoto T. (G) 13. Mima K. 3. Kawakami R. 23. Akiyama T. 16. Hashimoto R. 8. Haga A. 27. Sawazaki R. 19. Masuda S. 41. Nose R. 51. Nishimura M. 11. Tone R.
Substitutes
17. Fujii K. 20. Kawamata K. 2. Miyawaki S. 35. Mukai H. 15. Nakamura Y. 19. Saito M. 18. Sugai T. 9. Suzuki W. I. 1. Watanabe K. (G)	7. Kitsui T. 5. Minakuchi Y. 39. Mochizuki S. 18. Natsukawa Y. 24. Sato R. 9. Shimada T. 31. Sugawara H. (G) 25. Takei S. 37. Tsutsumi S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Tone R. ⚽, Mima K. (A),
13', 1 - 1, Yanagimachi K. ⚽, Shirawachi K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 1 - 2, Inoue K. (Own goal),
64', Nose R. ↓, Shimada T. ↑,
64', Tone R. ↓, Sato R. ↑,
68', Yanagimachi K. ↓, Mukai H. ↑,
76', Mihara S. ↓, Fujii K. ↑,
76', Shirawachi K. ↓, Kawamata K. ↑,
79', Haga A. ↓, Takei S. ↑,
80', Sato R. 🟨,
85', Sato N. ↓, Saito M. ↑,
85', Mori Y. ↓, Miyawaki S. ↑,
87', Masuda S. ↓, Minakuchi Y. ↑,
87', Mima K. ↓, Tsutsumi S. ↑,
90+1', Inoue K. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In recent matches, Azul Claro Numazu has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Osaka is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Azul Claro Numazu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Osaka is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Azul Claro Numazu won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Azul Claro Numazu won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Azul Claro Numazu - the odds 3.79 are the expected chance of winning is 23.92%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Azul Claro Numazu
Japan J3 League
12.10.25	Zweigen Kanazawa - Azul Claro Numazu	3:1 ✺
05.10.25	Kochi United - Azul Claro Numazu	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	Azul Claro Numazu - Gifu	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Azul Claro Numazu - Nara Club	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Matsumoto Yamaga - Azul Claro Numazu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWLWL
- FC Osaka
Japan J3 League
10.10.25	Osaka - Ryūkyū	3:0 ✺
05.10.25	Gainare Tottori - Osaka	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Nara Club - Osaka	1:1 ✺
19.09.25	Osaka - Giravanz Kitakyushu	0:3 ✺
15.09.25	Osaka - Tochigi City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
30.03.25	Osaka - Azul Claro Numazu	3:1
15.09.24	Azul Claro Numazu - Osaka	0:1
28.04.24	Osaka - Azul Claro Numazu	2:2
27.08.23	Azul Claro Numazu - Osaka	0:2
29.04.23	Osaka - Azul Claro Numazu	0:1

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