The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nagano Parceiro 18.6%
Draw 25.7%
Osaka 55.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.6%
29.3%
47.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.9%
28.5%
48.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nagano Parceiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Osaka's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagano Parceiro than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osaka than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Osaka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
23.1%
0%
76.9%
Nagano Parceiro - Osaka Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Nagano will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Osaka will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for Osaka: 54% – 99.8%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Osaka will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Matsubara S. (G) 16. Ishii K. 7. Ono Y. 3. Tomita K. 33. Ando K. 5. Hasegawa Y. 46. Koga S. 77. Thales 8. Kondo T. 10. Yamanaka R. 11. Shin K.
1. Yamamoto T. (G) 37. Tsutsumi S. 3. Kawakami R. 23. Akiyama T. 6. Tachino S. 24. Sato R. 25. Takei S. 27. Sawazaki R. 51. Nishimura M. 19. Masuda S. 9. Shimada T.
Substitutes
28. Fujikawa K. 4. Gyotoku E. 20. Kano H. 47. Kato K. 13. Konishi H. 14. Sanda N. 24. Sunamori K. 1. Tajiri K. (G) 18. Ukita K.
8. Haga A. 16. Hashimoto R. 7. Kitsui T. 10. Kubo R. 88. Matsumoto K. 18. Natsukawa Y. 31. Sugawara H. (G) 33. Woo S. 4. Yamashita R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Sato R. ↓, Kitsui T. ↑,
63', Takei S. ↓, Woo S. ↑,
71', Ando K. ↓, Sunamori K. ↑,
71', Yamanaka R. ↓, Kano H. ↑,
79', Tachino S. ↓, Hashimoto R. ↑,
79', Shimada T. ↓, Kubo R. ↑,
82', Thales ↓, Fujikawa K. ↑,
83', Kondo T. ↓, Gyotoku E. ↑,
87', Shin K. ↓, Ukita K. ↑,
89', Sawazaki R. ↓, Matsumoto K. ↑,
90+5', Tsutsumi S. 🟨,
90+7', Sunamori K. ↓, Sanda N. ↑,
90+9', Masuda S. ↓, Natsukawa Y. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League).
Nagano has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Osaka is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Osaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Osaka is seen as the favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Nagano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.3:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Nagano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).
China
Japan
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Matsubara S. (G) 
Thales 
Woo S. 
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