Match Info

J3 League - Round 9

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Hanazono Rugby Stadium (Higashiosaka)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Osaka		Vanraure Hachinohe

	1	X	2
	2.05	3	3.2
	2.16	3.1	3.2
	2.28	3.07	3.32	Watch
	2.1	3	3.25
	2.18	3.08	3.17	Watch
	2.16	3.1	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.17)	3.06 ↓ (3.15)	3.22 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osaka
42.1%

Draw
29.7%

Vanraure Hachinohe
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

28.7%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

29.3%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Vanraure Hachinohe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osaka than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vanraure Hachinohe than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Osaka - Vanraure Hachinohe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yamamoto T. (G) 16. Hashimoto R. 3. Kawakami R. 23. Akiyama T. 6. Tachino S. 24. Sato R. 25. Takei S. 33. Woo S. 11. Tone R. 19. Masuda S. 9. Shimada T.	13. Onishi S. (C) 22. Shirai T. 20. Minoda K. 11. Yukie H. 8. Otoizumi S. 6. Doi K. 5. Inazumi D. 80. Nagata K. 7. Sato A. 9. Sawakami R. 99. Nakano S.
Substitutes
8. Haga A. 22. Hayashida K. 68. Hirabuki G. (G) 7. Kitsui T. 5. Minakuchi Y. 39. Mochizuki S. 18. Natsukawa Y. 51. Nishimura M. 27. Sawazaki R.	30. Inami Y. 16. Kaburaki M. 19. Kato S. 14. Senoo N. 96. Takao R. 25. Taniguchi Y. (G) 47. Wakizaka R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Akiyama T. ↓, Minakuchi Y. ↑,
23', 1 - 0, Sawakami R. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sato A. ↓, Inami Y. ↑,
58', Masuda S. ↓, Kitsui T. ↑,
58', Tone R. ↓, Natsukawa Y. ↑,
62', Nakano S. ↓, Senoo N. ↑,
63', Kitsui T. 🟨,
71', Nagata K. ↓, Wakizaka R. ↑,
79', Inami Y. 🟨,
82', Otoizumi S. ↓, Takao R. ↑,
84', Takei S. ↓, Haga A. ↑,
84', Sato R. ↓, Nishimura M. ↑,
90+2', Haga A. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League and 9).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Osaka will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Osaka won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 0.8:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Osaka won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Osaka - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 41.66%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Osaka
Japan J3 League
05.04.25	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Osaka	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Osaka - Azul Claro Numazu	3:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
26.03.25	Osaka - Júbilo Iwata	1:2 ✺
Japan J3 League
23.03.25	Osaka - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Tochigi - Osaka	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLWL
- Vanraure Hachinohe
Japan J3 League
06.04.25	Tochigi - Vanraure Hachinohe	0:1 ✺
30.03.25	Vanraure Hachinohe - Nara Club	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	Vanraure Hachinohe - Kochi United	3:2 ✺
Japan J League Cup
20.03.25	Vanraure Hachinohe - Albirex Niigata	1:2 penalties ✺
Japan J3 League
15.03.25	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Vanraure Hachinohe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
24.11.24	Vanraure Hachinohe - Osaka	1:1
10.04.24	Osaka - Vanraure Hachinohe	2:0
29.07.23	Vanraure Hachinohe - Osaka	0:0
27.05.23	Osaka - Vanraure Hachinohe	0:1

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