Match Info

JAPAN: J3 League - Round 5

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Kanseki Stadium Tochigi (Utsunomiya)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Tochigi		Osaka

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.85	3
	2.35	2.95	3
	2.35	3.02	3.24	Watch
	2.3	2.8	3
	2.28	2.92	3.15	Watch
	2.35	2.95	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (3.65)	2.92 ↓ (3.3)	3.07 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tochigi
39.2%

Draw
31.1%

Osaka
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

27.6%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tochigi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tochigi's performance.

Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Osaka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Tochigi - Osaka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kawata S. (G) 3. Omori H. 2. Hiramatsu W. 25. Iwasaki H. 5. Mori R. 47. Yoshino H. 11. Aoshima T. 8. Fukumori K. 7. Tanahashi A. 10. Igarashi T. 9. Sugawara R.	1. Yamamoto T. (G) 15. Kurosaki H. 3. Kawakami R. 23. Akiyama T. 16. Hashimoto R. 10. Kubo R. 33. Woo S. 25. Takei S. 20. Horikoshi D. 7. Kitsui T. 9. Shimada T.
Substitutes
44. Ageishi R. 18. Kawana R. 38. Kobori S. 80. Otabor K. 33. Rafael Costa 19. Shoji H. 22. Takahashi H. 27. Tanno K. (G) 29. Yano K.	22. Hayashida K. 68. Hirabuki G. (G) 88. Matsumoto K. 24. Sato R. 27. Sawazaki R. 6. Tachino S. 11. Tone R. 17. Wada H. 4. Yamashita R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Shimada T. 🟨,
37', Woo S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Horikoshi D. ↓, Tone R. ↑,
63', Sugawara R. ↓, Yano K. ↑,
63', Igarashi T. ↓, Otabor K. ↑,
63', Mori R. ↓, Kawana R. ↑,
64', Shimada T. ↓, Sawazaki R. ↑,
70', 1 - 0, Yano K. ⚽, Fukumori K. (A),
74', Woo S. ↓, Sato R. ↑,
74', Kitsui T. ↓, Matsumoto K. ↑,
75', Aoshima T. ↓, Ageishi R. ↑,
82', Kubo R. ↓, Wada H. ↑,
90+2', Tanahashi A. ↓, Kobori S. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Tochigi is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Osaka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tochigi SC
Japan J3 League
09.03.25	Azul Claro Numazu - Tochigi	0:0 ✺
02.03.25	Tochigi - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1:2 ✺
22.02.25	Sagamihara - Tochigi	1:0 ✺
16.02.25	Tochigi - Kochi United	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
21.01.25	Sagan Tosu - Tochigi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TLLWT
- FC Osaka
Japan J3 League
08.03.25	Osaka - Gainare Tottori	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Kochi United - Osaka	1:2 ✺
22.02.25	Ryūkyū - Osaka	0:1 ✺
16.02.25	Osaka - Gifu	1:1 ✺
01.12.24	Kataller Toyama - Osaka	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWWTT

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