Match Info

Date: 28 August 2020, Friday


	Osasco Sporting		Avaí

	1	X	2
	3.1	3	2.3	Watch
	3.2	2.95	2.2
	3.2	2.75	2.3	Watch
	3.3	2.8	2.32
	3.59	2.87	2.43
	3.25	2.88	2.35
	3.38	3.02	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↑ (3.1)	2.9 ↓ (3.07)	2.32 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osasco Sporting
28.1%

Draw
31.9%

Avaí
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

30.1%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5%

21.7%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osasco Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osasco Sporting than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Osasco Sporting that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+15.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Avaí could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Osasco Sporting - Avaí Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Oeste could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Avaí have a series of home games.

Avaí will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Oeste won 1 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Oeste won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Osasco Sporting
Brazilian Serie B
21.08.20	América Mineiro - Osasco Sporting	2:1 ✺
18.08.20	Osasco Sporting - Ponte Preta	1:3 ✺
15.08.20	Brasil de Pelotas - Osasco Sporting	1:1 ✺
12.08.20	CRB Maceio - Osasco Sporting	1:0 ✺
09.08.20	Osasco Sporting - Chapecoense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLTLT
- Avaí
Brazilian Serie B
22.08.20	Avaí - Cuiabá	0:2 ✺
18.08.20	Avaí - Botafogo SP	0:1 ✺
11.08.20	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Avaí	1:0 ✺
08.08.20	Avaí - Náutico Capibaribe	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
30.07.20	Avaí - Chapecoense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
20.10.18	Avaí - Osasco Sporting	1:1
26.06.18	Osasco Sporting - Avaí	1:0
08.11.16	Osasco Sporting - Avaí	0:0
15.07.16	Avaí - Osasco Sporting	1:1
04.11.14	Avaí - Osasco Sporting	0:0
09.08.14	Osasco Sporting - Avaí	0:0
06.09.13	Avaí - Osasco Sporting	2:2

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