Match Info

Serie B - Round 14

Date: 21 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Dr. Aderbal Ramos da Silva (Ressacada) (Florianópolis)

Referee: Ferreira Y. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Avaí		Cuiabá

	1	X	2
	2.82	2.82	2.70	Watch
	2.70	2.85	2.65
	2.65	2.95	2.75	Watch
	3.00	2.88	2.91
	2.66	2.68	3.17	Watch
	2.80	2.62	2.75
	2.85	2.85	2.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.57)	2.81 ↑ (2.68)	2.81 ↓ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avaí
33.5%

Draw
33.2%

Cuiabá
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

34.8%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

35.2%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Cuiabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Avaí - Cuiabá Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Cuiabá will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Cuiabá (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cuiabá (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Igor Bohn (G) 52. Wesley Gasolina 3. Allyson 50. Joao Maistro 56. William 77. Ze Ricardo (C) 8. Luiz Henrique 43. Thayllon 10. Jean Lucas 11. Sorriso 9. Leo Gamalho	31. Marcelo Carne (G) 37. Raylan 30. Raul (C) 13. Joao Basso 4. Vitor Mendes 6. Marlon 8. Pepe 5. Calebe Costa 20. David Miguel 27. Rodrigo Rodrigues 29. Vinicius Peixoto
Substitutes
6. Cabral N. 36. DG 4. Gabriel Simples 15. Guilherme Aquino 18. Hyan 16. Jamerson 21. Otavio Passos (G) 25. Paulo Vitor 66. Quaresma 5. Romildo Del Piage 57. Walace Franca 95. Wenderson	14. Eric Melo 44. Gabriel Knesowitsch 1. Joao Carlos (G) 41. Kauan Cristtyan 91. Luis Soares 97. Luiz Otavio 23. Marcos Junior 2. Nino Paraiba 17. Victor Barbara 53. Weverson
Coaches
Cauan de Almeida	Barros E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Jean Lucas ⚽, Sorriso (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Vinicius Peixoto ↓, Kauan Cristtyan ↑,
52', Joao Maistro ↓, Guilherme Aquino ↑,
54', Sorriso ↓, DG ↑,
54', Leo Gamalho 🟨,
57', Marlon 🟨,
62', David Miguel ↓, Luiz Otavio ↑,
66', Leo Gamalho ↓, Walace Franca ↑,
66', William ↓, Wenderson ↑,
69', Jean Lucas 🟨,
73', Calebe Costa ↓, Victor Barbara ↑,
73', Pepe ↓, Weverson ↑,
79', Thayllon ↓, Jamerson ↑,
79', Luiz Henrique ↓, Paulo Vitor ↑,
80', Marlon ↓, Eric Melo ↑,
81', Vitor Mendes ↓, Marcos Junior ↑,
90+2', Cauan de Almeida 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 1.

Avaí has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cuiabá is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Cuiabá may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Avaí: Cristiano (Inactive) Guilherme Aquino (Inactive) Isaias (Injury) Jefferson Maciel (Injury) Pedro Cuiaba (Inactive) Rafael Bilu (Inactive) Ze Ricardo (Inactive)

There will not play in Cuiabá: Alan Empereur (Inactive) Eliel (Hand Injury)

There are questionable in Avaí: Bruno Baldini (Inactive)

There are questionable in Cuiabá: Hernades (Muscle Injury) Lorenzo (Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Avaí won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Cuiaba	32	11	14	7	32:25	7	47
17	Avai	32	9	6	17	32:43	-11	33

Last Results with these Odds

Avaí - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 36.3%, but this team recently wins 53% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avaí
Brazilian Serie B
15.06.26	Londrina - Avaí	3:2 ✺
10.06.26	Ceará - Avaí	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
07.06.26	Chapecoense - Avaí	3:1 penalties ✺
03.06.26	Avaí - Chapecoense	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
30.05.26	Avaí - Criciúma	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLWL
- Cuiabá EC
Brazilian Serie B
14.06.26	Cuiabá - Vila Nova	1:0 ✺
09.06.26	Ponte Preta - Cuiabá	1:2 ✺
31.05.26	Cuiabá - CRB Maceio	2:0 ✺
22.05.26	Náutico Capibaribe - Cuiabá	1:0 ✺
16.05.26	Cuiabá - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
10.08.25	Avaí - Cuiabá	2:0
10.04.25	Cuiabá - Avaí	2:2
Brazilian Serie A
27.10.22	Cuiabá - Avaí	1:0
03.07.22	Avaí - Cuiabá	1:2
Brazilian Serie B
27.11.20	Cuiabá - Avaí	2:1
22.08.20	Avaí - Cuiabá	0:2

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