Match Info

Date: 21 November 2020, Saturday


	Osasco Sporting		Brasil de Pelotas

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.9	2.45	Watch
	2.95	2.75	2.45
	2.95	2.8	2.4	Watch
	3.05	2.75	2.48
	3.25	2.89	2.63
	3.1	2.8	2.5
	3.04	2.96	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↓ (3.17)	2.84 ↓ (2.86)	2.49 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osasco Sporting
30.1%

Draw
32.7%

Brasil de Pelotas
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

32.5%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7%

24.1%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osasco Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Brasil de Pelotas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osasco Sporting than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Osasco Sporting that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brasil de Pelotas than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brasil de Pelotas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Osasco Sporting - Brasil de Pelotas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation to Serie C and 14).

Oeste has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Brasil de Pelotas is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Oeste could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Oeste won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Oeste won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Osasco Sporting
Brazilian Serie B
13.11.20	Osasco Sporting - CRB Maceio	1:2 ✺
07.11.20	Chapecoense - Osasco Sporting	0:0 ✺
31.10.20	Osasco Sporting - Sampaio Corrêa	0:3 ✺
26.10.20	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Osasco Sporting	4:0 ✺
20.10.20	Osasco Sporting - Náutico Capibaribe	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LTLLL
- Brasil de Pelotas
Brazilian Serie D
21.11.20	Brasil de Pelotas - Grêmio Novorizontino	4:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
13.11.20	Ponte Preta - Brasil de Pelotas	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
13.11.20	Caxias - Brasil de Pelotas	0:0 ✺
07.11.20	Joinville - Brasil de Pelotas	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
07.11.20	Brasil de Pelotas - Cuiabá	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
15.08.20	Brasil de Pelotas - Osasco Sporting	1:1
09.11.19	Brasil de Pelotas - Osasco Sporting	2:2
08.08.19	Osasco Sporting - Brasil de Pelotas	1:1
22.09.18	Brasil de Pelotas - Osasco Sporting	1:3
05.06.18	Osasco Sporting - Brasil de Pelotas	0:0
27.10.17	Osasco Sporting - Brasil de Pelotas	1:0
11.07.17	Brasil de Pelotas - Osasco Sporting	3:1

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