Match Info

Date: 20 October 2020, Tuesday


	Osasco Sporting		Náutico Capibaribe

	1	X	2
	2.9	3	2.55	Watch
	2.8	2.8	2.5
	2.7	2.88	2.55	Watch
	2.7	2.8	2.75
	2.9	2.91	2.9
	2.75	2.8	2.75
	2.76	3.04	2.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↓ (2.82)	2.89 ↓ (3.15)	2.67 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osasco Sporting
33.3%

Draw
32.1%

Náutico Capibaribe
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

29.7%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

20.9%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osasco Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osasco Sporting than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Osasco Sporting, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Náutico Capibaribe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Osasco Sporting - Náutico Capibaribe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation to Serie C and 16).

Both teams have a series of defeats in the last matches.

Náutico could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Oeste won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Oeste won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Osasco Sporting
Brazilian Serie B
17.10.20	Confiança - Osasco Sporting	3:1 ✺
11.10.20	Osasco Sporting - Cruzeiro	0:0 ✺
05.10.20	Osasco Sporting - Operário Ferroviario	0:1 ✺
02.10.20	Figueirense - Osasco Sporting	4:1 ✺
29.09.20	Osasco Sporting - Botafogo SP	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTLLL
- Náutico Capibaribe
Brazilian Serie B
12.10.20	Náutico Capibaribe - Ponte Preta	0:2 ✺
09.10.20	América Mineiro - Náutico Capibaribe	2:0 ✺
06.10.20	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Náutico Capibaribe	0:0 ✺
03.10.20	Náutico Capibaribe - Confiança	0:1 ✺
29.09.20	Cuiabá - Náutico Capibaribe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
16.09.17	Osasco Sporting - Náutico Capibaribe	1:0
06.06.17	Náutico Capibaribe - Osasco Sporting	1:1
26.11.16	Náutico Capibaribe - Osasco Sporting	0:2
02.08.16	Osasco Sporting - Náutico Capibaribe	0:0
03.10.15	Osasco Sporting - Náutico Capibaribe	2:0
04.07.15	Náutico Capibaribe - Osasco Sporting	2:1
18.11.14	Osasco Sporting - Náutico Capibaribe	2:0

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