Match Info

Date: 13 November 2020, Friday


	Osasco Sporting		CRB Maceio

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.1	2.3	Watch
	3.25	2.95	2.15
	3.2	2.95	2.18	Watch
	3.2	2.95	2.29
	3.37	3.18	2.37
	3.25	2.9	2.35
	3.3	3.04	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↓ (3.28)	3.01 ↓ (3.19)	2.28 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osasco Sporting
28.5%

Draw
30.8%

CRB Maceio
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

29.6%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

21.7%

56.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osasco Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

CRB Maceio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osasco Sporting than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Osasco Sporting that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (+16.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CRB Maceio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Osasco Sporting - CRB Maceio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation to Serie C and 11).

Oeste has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches CRB is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

CRB will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Oeste won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Oeste won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Osasco Sporting
Brazilian Serie B
07.11.20	Chapecoense - Osasco Sporting	0:0 ✺
31.10.20	Osasco Sporting - Sampaio Corrêa	0:3 ✺
26.10.20	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Osasco Sporting	4:0 ✺
20.10.20	Osasco Sporting - Náutico Capibaribe	0:1 ✺
17.10.20	Confiança - Osasco Sporting	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TLLLL
- CRB Maceio
Brazilian Serie B
08.11.20	CRB Maceio - Juventude	0:1 ✺
31.10.20	Cuiabá - CRB Maceio	3:0 ✺
24.10.20	CRB Maceio - Ponte Preta	1:0 ✺
21.10.20	Figueirense - CRB Maceio	2:0 ✺
17.10.20	CRB Maceio - Operário Ferroviario	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
12.08.20	CRB Maceio - Osasco Sporting	1:0
02.11.19	Osasco Sporting - CRB Maceio	3:3
30.07.19	CRB Maceio - Osasco Sporting	2:2
11.08.18	CRB Maceio - Osasco Sporting	0:1
13.04.18	Osasco Sporting - CRB Maceio	2:0
09.09.17	CRB Maceio - Osasco Sporting	0:1
02.06.17	Osasco Sporting - CRB Maceio	2:0

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