Match Info

Date: 21 November 2020, Saturday


	Brasil de Pelotas		Grêmio Novorizontino

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.5	3.5
	1.87	3.25	3.75
	1.96	3.34	4.03
	1.88	3.1	3.9
	1.93	3.28	3.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.09)	3.29 ↑ (3.2)	3.79 ↑ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brasil de Pelotas
48.2%

Draw
27.7%

Grêmio Novorizontino
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

28.8%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

19.1%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brasil de Pelotas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brasil de Pelotas than the current prediction. (-19%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brasil de Pelotas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+16.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grêmio Novorizontino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Recent matches Brasil de Pelotas is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Novorizontino is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Brasil de Pelotas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Brasil de Pelotas will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Brasil de Pelotas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brasil de Pelotas
Brazilian Serie B
13.11.20	Ponte Preta - Brasil de Pelotas	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
13.11.20	Caxias - Brasil de Pelotas	0:0 ✺
07.11.20	Joinville - Brasil de Pelotas	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
07.11.20	Brasil de Pelotas - Cuiabá	3:0 ✺
03.11.20	Brasil de Pelotas - Sampaio Corrêa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 TTTWT
- Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Serie D
13.11.20	Atlético Tubarão - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:2 ✺
07.11.20	Grêmio Novorizontino - Náutico Marcílio Dias	1:0 ✺
25.10.20	São Luiz - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:2 ✺
22.10.20	Grêmio Novorizontino - Caxias	1:1 ✺
18.10.20	Caxias - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
26.09.20	Grêmio Novorizontino - Brasil de Pelotas	1:0

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