Match Info

Serie B - Round 5

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Rei Pelé (Maceió)

Referee: Policarpo Bento A. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+, SportyNet, Xsports


	CRB Maceio		Juventude

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	3.4	Watch
	2.25	3	3.25	Watch
	2.37	3.05	3.53
	2.44	2.62	3.59	Watch
	2.3	2.9	3.1
	2.3	2.97	3.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (1.72)	2.92 ↓ (3.36)	3.37 ↓ (5.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

CRB Maceio
40.2%

Draw
32%

Juventude
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

27.7%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

27%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CRB Maceio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that CRB Maceio's form might have worsened.

Juventude has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juventude's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (+15.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for CRB Maceio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juventude, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

CRB Maceio - Juventude Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Matheus Albino (G) 32. Hereda 22. Bressan 27. Fabio Alemao (C) 36. Lucas Lovat 21. Pedro Castro 50. Luizao 10. Danielzinho 7. Douglas Baggio 19. Luiz Phellype 97. Dada Belmonte	93. Jandrei (G) 34. Rodrigo Sam (C) 4. Messias 47. Marcos Paulo 17. Castro M. 5. Luan Martins 44. Mandaca 6. Wadson 75. Rai Silva 20. Allanzinho 9. Alan Kardec
Substitutes
45. De Lucca 14. Guilherme Estrella 11. Guilherme Pato 44. Henri 2. Kevin 33. Lyncon 60. Maycon 28. Mikael 31. Ruy 20. Vinicius Barata 1. Vitor Caetano (G) 82. Wallace	25. Alisson Safira 16. Diogo Barbosa 11. Fabio Lima 97. Gabriel Pinheiro 79. Joao Scatolin 15. Leo Indio 8. Lucas Mineiro 10. MP 22. Nathan Santos 12. Pedro Rocha (G) 21. Ruan Carneiro (G) 3. Titi
Coaches
Eduardo Barroca	Mauricio Barbieri

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', Messias ↓, Diogo Barbosa ↑,
18', Wadson ↓, Gabriel Pinheiro ↑,
31', Gabriel Pinheiro 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Allanzinho ⚽, Luan Martins (A),
44', Allanzinho ↓, Fabio Lima ↑,
45', Bressan 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Luizao ↓, Mikael ↑,
46', Douglas Baggio ↓, De Lucca ↑,
46', Bressan ↓, Henri ↑,
55', Diogo Barbosa 🟨,
57', Luiz Phellype ↓, Guilherme Pato ↑,
59', Guilherme Pato 🟨,
64', Hereda 🟥,
70', Fabio Alemao 🟨,
70', Dada Belmonte ↓, Kevin ↑,
75', Castro M. ↓, Nathan Santos ↑,
75', Alan Kardec ↓, Alisson Safira ↑,
84', Lucas Lovat 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CRB won 1.

CRB has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Juventude has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

CRB might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in CRB: Crystopher Ribeiro (Injury) Leo Campos (Inactive) Thiaguinho (Inactive)

There will not play in Juventude: Alan Ruschel (Muscle Injury) Fabio Lima (Inactive) Pablo Roberto (Injury) Patryck (Inactive)

There are questionable in CRB: Luiz Phellype (Injury)

There are questionable in Juventude: Luan Martins (Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, CRB won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 0.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, CRB won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Juventude	32	17	8	7	37:19	18	59
7	CRB	32	15	6	11	49:45	4	51

Last Results with these Odds

CRB Maceio - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 54.2%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CRB Maceio
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
15.04.26	Fluminense Piaui - CRB Maceio	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
12.04.26	CRB Maceio - Athletic Club	2:3 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
09.04.26	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - CRB Maceio	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
05.04.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - CRB Maceio	1:1 ✺
01.04.26	CRB Maceio - Avaí	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TLLTL
- EC Juventude
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
15.04.26	Juventude - Chapecoense	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
11.04.26	Juventude - Goiás	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
08.04.26	Caxias - Juventude	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
04.04.26	Fortaleza - Juventude	2:1 ✺
31.03.26	Juventude - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
16.09.23	Juventude - CRB Maceio	3:1
27.05.23	CRB Maceio - Juventude	1:2
08.11.20	CRB Maceio - Juventude	0:1
Copa do Brasil
22.09.20	CRB Maceio - Juventude	1:0
17.09.20	Juventude - CRB Maceio	2:0
Brazilian Serie B
08.08.20	Juventude - CRB Maceio	2:1
06.11.18	CRB Maceio - Juventude	2:0

Upcoming Matches