Match Info

Date: 11 October 2020, Sunday


	Osasco Sporting		Cruzeiro

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.4	1.7	Watch
	4.25	3.3	1.75
	3.9	3.35	1.79	Watch
	4.6	3.25	1.77
	4.92	3.48	1.83
	4.75	3.2	1.8
	4.65	3.44	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.49 ↓ (4.79)	3.35 ↓ (3.61)	1.78 ↑ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osasco Sporting
20.6%

Draw
27.6%

Cruzeiro
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.5%

25.8%

54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.5%

20.5%

68.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osasco Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osasco Sporting than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Osasco Sporting that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+16.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cruzeiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Osasco Sporting - Cruzeiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

No spectators.

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation to Serie C and 19 in the zone Relegation to Serie C).

Oeste has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Cruzeiro is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cruzeiro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Cruzeiro is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Osasco Sporting
Brazilian Serie B
05.10.20	Osasco Sporting - Operário Ferroviario	0:1 ✺
02.10.20	Figueirense - Osasco Sporting	4:1 ✺
29.09.20	Osasco Sporting - Botafogo SP	0:1 ✺
26.09.20	Vitória Salvador - Osasco Sporting	3:1 ✺
19.09.20	Cuiabá - Osasco Sporting	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Cruzeiro MG
Brazilian Serie B
08.10.20	Cruzeiro - Sampaio Corrêa	1:2 ✺
03.10.20	Cuiabá - Cruzeiro	1:0 ✺
30.09.20	Cruzeiro - Ponte Preta	3:0 ✺
25.09.20	Cruzeiro - Avaí	0:1 ✺
19.09.20	CS Alagoano - Cruzeiro	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWLL

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