The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cruzeiro 67.8%
Draw 22.1%
Ponte Preta 10.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.8%
25.1%
14%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.2%
24.9%
13.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cruzeiro's performance.
Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cruzeiro that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
86.5%
5.4%
8.1%
Cruzeiro - Ponte Preta Predictions
Users Predictions:
Cruzeiro will win
(32 of 37 users predict this - 86.49%). Confidence interval (95%): 75.48% – 97.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Cruzeiro won 4.
Cruzeiro is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Ponte Preta is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Cruzeiro is certain favorite.
Our prediction for today's Cruzeiro to win the game is with odds 1.43.
Last 14 head-to-head matches Cruzeiro won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 22-11.
Including matches at home between the teams Cruzeiro won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-6.
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