Match Info

Date: 16 June 2022, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Mineirão (Belo Horizonte) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Alves Junior P. R. (Bra)


	Cruzeiro		Ponte Preta

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.39	4.1	8.5
	1.34	4	9.5
	1.35	4.2	9.2
	1.4	4.38	10.59
	1.4	4.2	8
	1.37	4.4	9.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.56)	4.21 ↑ (3.77)	9.27 ↑ (6.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cruzeiro
67.8%

Draw
22.1%

Ponte Preta
10.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.8%

25.1%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

24.9%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cruzeiro's performance.

Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cruzeiro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.5%	5.4%	8.1%

Cruzeiro - Ponte Preta Predictions

Users Predictions: Cruzeiro will win (32 of 37 users predict this - 86.49%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.48% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cruzeiro won 4.

Cruzeiro is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ponte Preta is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Cruzeiro is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Cruzeiro to win the game is with odds 1.43.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Cruzeiro won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 22-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Cruzeiro won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cruzeiro MG
Brazilian Serie B
12.06.22	Vasco da Gama - Cruzeiro	1:0 ✺
08.06.22	Cruzeiro - CRB Maceio	2:0 ✺
03.06.22	Operário Ferroviario - Cruzeiro	1:2 ✺
27.05.22	Criciúma - Cruzeiro	0:1 ✺
22.05.22	Cruzeiro - Sampaio Corrêa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWWWW
- AA Ponte Preta
Brazilian Serie B
11.06.22	Ponte Preta - Londrina	1:2 ✺
07.06.22	Ituano - Ponte Preta	1:2 ✺
02.06.22	Sport Recife - Ponte Preta	2:1 ✺
24.05.22	Ponte Preta - Chapecoense	0:0 ✺
20.05.22	Bahia - Ponte Preta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
11.09.21	Cruzeiro - Ponte Preta	1:0
16.06.21	Ponte Preta - Cruzeiro	0:1
22.12.20	Ponte Preta - Cruzeiro	2:1
30.09.20	Cruzeiro - Ponte Preta	3:0
Brazilian Serie A
07.10.17	Cruzeiro - Ponte Preta	2:1
22.06.17	Ponte Preta - Cruzeiro	1:0
08.10.16	Cruzeiro - Ponte Preta	2:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cruzeiro MG
Brazilian Serie A
29.10.26	Atlético Mineiro - Cruzeiro	✺
- AA Ponte Preta
Brazilian Serie B
30.10.26	Criciúma - Ponte Preta	✺

Cruzeiro - Ponte Preta