Match Info

Date: 5 October 2020, Monday


	Osasco Sporting		Operário Ferroviario

	1	X	2
	2.87	2.9	2.37	Watch
	3	2.75	2.4
	2.88	2.8	2.48	Watch
	3.1	2.75	2.48
	3.25	2.9	2.63
	3.1	2.75	2.55
	3.14	2.9	2.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.32)	2.82 ↓ (2.88)	2.49 ↓ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osasco Sporting
30.3%

Draw
32.7%

Operário Ferroviario
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

31.5%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

22.9%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osasco Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Osasco Sporting's form might have worsened.

Operário Ferroviario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Operário Ferroviario's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osasco Sporting than the current prediction. (+23.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Osasco Sporting, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (-15.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Operário Ferroviario, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.1%	15.8%	63.2%

Osasco Sporting - Operário Ferroviario Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Osasco Sporting will win (votes: 8 - 21.1%). Operário PR will win (votes: 24 - 63.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Operário PR: 47.9% – 78.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation to Serie C and 9).

Oeste is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Operário Ferroviario is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Oeste won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Oeste won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Osasco Sporting
Brazilian Serie B
02.10.20	Figueirense - Osasco Sporting	4:1 ✺
29.09.20	Osasco Sporting - Botafogo SP	0:1 ✺
26.09.20	Vitória Salvador - Osasco Sporting	3:1 ✺
19.09.20	Cuiabá - Osasco Sporting	3:0 ✺
13.09.20	Osasco Sporting - CS Alagoano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLLW
- Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Serie B
02.10.20	Operário Ferroviario - Vitória Salvador	1:1 ✺
29.09.20	Juventude - Operário Ferroviario	1:0 ✺
22.09.20	Operário Ferroviario - Cuiabá	1:1 ✺
19.09.20	Ponte Preta - Operário Ferroviario	1:1 ✺
12.09.20	Sampaio Corrêa - Operário Ferroviario	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
13.09.19	Osasco Sporting - Operário Ferroviario	3:0
11.05.19	Operário Ferroviario - Osasco Sporting	0:0

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