Match Info

Date: 18 December 2020, Friday


	Osasco Sporting		Vitória Salvador

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.4	Watch
	2.9	2.95	2.35
	3.05	2.95	2.23	Watch
	2.85	3.05	2.44
	3.05	3.24	2.53
	2.9	3.1	2.4
	2.98	3.32	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↓ (3.46)	3.1 ↓ (3.2)	2.39 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osasco Sporting
31.2%

Draw
29.9%

Vitória Salvador
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

29.1%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3%

22%

58.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osasco Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osasco Sporting than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Osasco Sporting that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+19.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitória Salvador could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Osasco Sporting - Vitória Salvador Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation to Serie C and 14).

Oeste is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Vitória is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vitória will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Oeste won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Oeste won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Osasco Sporting
Brazilian Serie B
15.12.20	Osasco Sporting - Cuiabá	0:2 ✺
11.12.20	CS Alagoano - Osasco Sporting	2:1 ✺
08.12.20	Juventude - Osasco Sporting	2:2 ✺
04.12.20	Osasco Sporting - Guaraní Asuncion	0:1 ✺
30.11.20	Avaí - Osasco Sporting	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 LLTLW
- EC Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie B
15.12.20	Vitória Salvador - Juventude	1:0 ✺
11.12.20	Vitória Salvador - Cruzeiro	0:1 ✺
08.12.20	Cuiabá - Vitória Salvador	3:3 ✺
04.12.20	Vitória Salvador - Confiança	2:3 ✺
01.12.20	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Vitória Salvador	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
26.09.20	Vitória Salvador - Osasco Sporting	3:1
08.10.19	Vitória Salvador - Osasco Sporting	3:1
11.06.19	Osasco Sporting - Vitória Salvador	3:0
25.08.15	Vitória Salvador - Osasco Sporting	1:1
16.05.15	Osasco Sporting - Vitória Salvador	1:2

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