Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 20

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Barradao (Salvador)

Referee: Claus R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz


	Vitória Salvador		Juventude

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	5.25	Watch
	1.75	3.5	5
	1.78	3.45	4.45
	1.73	3.76	5.32
	1.37	4.59	8.47	Watch
	1.7	3.4	5
	1.8	3.55	4.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.79)	3.69 ↑ (3.29)	5.48 ↑ (4.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitória Salvador
56.6%

Draw
25.9%

Juventude
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

28.6%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

28.3%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Juventude has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	15.4%	15.4%

Vitória Salvador - Juventude Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Vitória will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Juventude will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vitória: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Vitória (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Juventude (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Vitória (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Vitória (votes: 3 - 75%). Juventude (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lucas Arcanjo (G) 22. Lucas Braga 77. Neris 5. Lucas Halter (C) 13. Ramon 28. Ricardo Ryller 6. Pepe 17. Cantalapiedra A. 33. Erick 79. Renato Kayzer 11. Osvaldo	13. Jandrei (G) 93. Reginaldo 23. Abner 5. Cipriano 22. Marcelo Hermes 95. Caique Goncalves 16. Jadson (C) 44. Mandaca 7. Gabriel Veron 19. Gabriel Taliari 27. Batalla E.
Substitutes
53. Andrei 99. Carlinhos 26. Edenilson 43. Edu 23. Fabricio 76. Felipe Cardoso 31. Lopez R. 66. Maykon Jesus 50. Paulo Vitor 20. Rodrigues R. 12. Thiago Couto (G) 41. Wendell Santos	28. Alan Ruschel 4. Angel W. 43. Bernardo 97. Enio 8. Giraldo D. 32. Igor Formiga 98. Marlon 10. Nene 72. Peixoto 99. Rafael Bilu 35. Rafael Pinna 21. Ruan Carneiro (G)
Coaches
Fabio Carille	Thiago Carpini

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Cipriano 🟥,
11', Batalla E. ↓, Angel W. ↑,
32', 1 - 0, Renato Kayzer ⚽, Cantalapiedra A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Gabriel Taliari ↓, Giraldo D. ↑,
46', Reginaldo ↓, Igor Formiga ↑,
46', 2 - 0, Renato Kayzer ⚽,
49', Abner 🟨,
53', Marcelo Hermes 🟨,
66', Neris 🟥,
67', Osvaldo ↓, Edu ↑,
67', Gabriel Veron ↓, Enio ↑,
72', Cantalapiedra A. ↓, Felipe Cardoso ↑,
72', Erick ↓, Fabricio ↑,
73', Caique Goncalves ↓, Nene ↑,
77', Angel W. 🟨,
81', 2 - 1, Igor Formiga ⚽, Nene (A),
84', Ricardo Ryller ↓, Rodrigues R. ↑,
84', Renato Kayzer ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
88', Lucas Halter 🟨,
90+10', 2 - 2, Nene (Pen),

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 1.

Vitória has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Juventude's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Vitória is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Vitória: Baralhas (Injury) Claudinho (Ankle Injury) Jamerson (Ankle Injury) Matheuzinho (Heel Injury) Ramos R. (Injury) Ronald Lopes (Yellow Cards) Willian Oliveira (Injury) Ze Marcos (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Juventude: Ewerthon (Muscle Injury) Gilberto (Injury) Lucas Fernandes (Muscle Injury) Marcos Paulo (Muscle Injury) Matheus Babi (Yellow Cards) Rafael Bilu (Knee Injury) Rodrigo Sam (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Juventude: Gustavo (Personal Reasons)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.6:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Vitória won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 0.7:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie A
09.08.25	São Paulo - Vitória Salvador	2:0 ✺
03.08.25	Vitória Salvador - Palmeiras	2:2 ✺
26.07.25	Mirassol - Vitória Salvador	1:1 ✺
23.07.25	Vitória Salvador - Sport Recife	2:2 ✺
20.07.25	Vitória Salvador - Red Bull Bragantino	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LTTTW
- EC Juventude
Brazilian Serie A
11.08.25	Juventude - Corinthians	2:1 ✺
04.08.25	Santos - Juventude	3:1 ✺
27.07.25	Bahia - Juventude	3:0 ✺
24.07.25	Juventude - São Paulo	0:1 ✺
20.07.25	Cruzeiro - Juventude	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
29.03.25	Juventude - Vitória Salvador	2:0
21.09.24	Vitória Salvador - Juventude	1:0
11.06.24	Juventude - Vitória Salvador	1:1
Brazilian Serie B
29.10.23	Vitória Salvador - Juventude	0:0
02.07.23	Juventude - Vitória Salvador	1:0
15.12.20	Vitória Salvador - Juventude	1:0
14.09.20	Juventude - Vitória Salvador	1:1

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