Match Info

Date: 8 December 2020, Tuesday


	Juventude		Osasco Sporting

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.5	5.75	Watch
	1.62	3.5	4.75
	1.62	3.4	5.1	Watch
	1.62	3.5	5.4
	1.66	3.72	6
	1.63	3.4	5.8
	1.65	3.74	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.52)	3.54 ↓ (3.95)	5.46 ↓ (5.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventude
56.7%

Draw
26.2%

Osasco Sporting
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

23.5%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

13.4%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventude has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Osasco Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (-21.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juventude that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osasco Sporting than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Osasco Sporting could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	12.5%	20.8%

Juventude - Osasco Sporting Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Juventude will win (votes: 16 - 66.7%). Osasco Sporting will win (votes: 5 - 20.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Juventude: 47.8% – 85.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Juventude could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Juventude is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Juventude won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Juventude won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Juventude
Brazilian Serie B
05.12.20	Juventude - Chapecoense	1:1 ✺
02.12.20	Botafogo SP - Juventude	1:1 ✺
28.11.20	Juventude - Náutico Capibaribe	1:0 ✺
24.11.20	América Mineiro - Juventude	2:1 ✺
20.11.20	Juventude - Paraná Clube Curitiba	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TTWLW
- Osasco Sporting
Brazilian Serie B
04.12.20	Osasco Sporting - Guaraní Asuncion	0:1 ✺
30.11.20	Avaí - Osasco Sporting	0:3 ✺
27.11.20	Osasco Sporting - América Mineiro	1:1 ✺
24.11.20	Ponte Preta - Osasco Sporting	1:0 ✺
21.11.20	Osasco Sporting - Brasil de Pelotas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
05.09.20	Osasco Sporting - Juventude	1:3
18.08.18	Osasco Sporting - Juventude	0:0
20.04.18	Juventude - Osasco Sporting	1:1
10.11.17	Juventude - Osasco Sporting	0:0
22.07.17	Osasco Sporting - Juventude	3:0

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