What is the expert prediction for Osasuna vs Valencia?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Osasuna vs Valencia. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Osasuna vs Valencia Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Sunday, August 24, 2025)

Match Info

LaLiga - Round 2

Date: 24 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Sadar (Pamplona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Argentina	DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA French 1
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 2
Bangladesh	Begin
Belarus	Okko Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 4
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Cameroon	CRTV Sports
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, TSN+
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	Gotv
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 2
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Singapore	beIN Sport 1, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DSports 1
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	DSports 1
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15


	Osasuna		Valencia

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.2	3.1	Watch
	2.45	3.1	3.1
	2.48	3.15	3.05	Watch
	2.49	3.2	3.22
	1.42	4.15	8.42	Watch
	2.4	3.1	3
	2.5	3.36	3.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.17)	3.32 ↓ (3.38)	3.86 ↑ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osasuna
43.7%

Draw
30.3%

Valencia
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osasuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Valencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osasuna than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	45.5%	21.2%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Osasuna will win (votes: 10 - 31.3%). Valencia will win (votes: 7 - 21.9%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 46.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6% – 64.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Osasuna (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Valencia (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Tie (votes: 7 - 38.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Osasuna (1.60) (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

DC - Osasuna (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DNB - Osasuna (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 26 Selected Experts predict this event. Osasuna (votes: 12 - 46.2%). Valencia (votes: 7 - 26.9%). Tie (votes: 7 - 26.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Herrera S. (C) 19. Rosier V. 22. Boyomo F. 24. Catena A. 3. Cruz J. 16. Gomez M. 6. Torro L. 10. Oroz A. 7. Moncayola J. 17. Budimir A. 21. Munoz V.	25. Agirrezabala J. (G) 20. Foulquier D. 5. Tarrega C. 3. Copete J. 14. Gaya J. (C) 11. Rioja L. 18. Pepelu 8. Guerra J. 16. Lopez D. 7. Danjuma A. 19. Raba D.
Substitutes
11. Barja K. 26. Echegoyen M. 13. Fernandez A. (G) 9. Garcia R. 14. Garcia R. 5. Herrando J. 8. Munoz I. 29. Osambela A. 34. Ruiz R. C. 31. Stamatakis D. (G)	10. Almeida A. 37. Blazquez A. 24. Comert E. 4. Diakhaby M. 1. Dimitrievski S. (G) 9. Duro H. 33. Lopez P. 27. Otorbi D. 26. Rubo 22. Santamaria B. 23. Ugrinic F. 21. Vazquez J.
Coaches
Lisci A.	Corberan C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Budimir A. ⚽, Rosier V. (A),
22', Gaya J. 🟥,
26', Raba D. ↓, Vazquez J. ↑,
45', Torro L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Munoz V. ↓, Garcia R. ↑,
67', Guerra J. ↓, Ugrinic F. ↑,
67', Rioja L. ↓, Diakhaby M. ↑,
74', Tarrega C. 🟨,
78', Pepelu ↓, Santamaria B. ↑,
78', Copete J. ↓, Duro H. ↑,
78', Oroz A. ↓, Garcia R. ↑,
78', Torro L. ↓, Herrando J. ↑,
80', Rosier V. 🟨,
84', Gomez M. ↓, Osambela A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Osasuna won 1.

Osasuna is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Valencia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Osasuna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Osasuna: Benito I. (Ankle Injury) Bretones A. (Red Card)

There will not play in Valencia: Canos S. (Groin Injury) Correia T. (Knee Injury) Mari A. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Osasuna won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 22:38. (average 1.1:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Osasuna won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 1.5:1.9).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Osasuna
Spanish LaLiga
19.08.25	Real Madrid - Osasuna	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Freiburg - Osasuna	2:2 ✺
06.08.25	Osasuna - Mirandés	3:0 ✺
02.08.25	Osasuna - Racing Santander	0:1 ✺
30.07.25	Real Sociedad - Osasuna	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTWLL
- CF Valencia
Spanish LaLiga
16.08.25	Valencia - Real Sociedad	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Valencia - Torino	3:0 ✺
02.08.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Valencia	2:0 ✺
29.07.25	Olympique Marseille - Valencia	1:1 ✺
23.07.25	Valencia - Leganés	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
02.03.25	Osasuna - Valencia	3:3
24.09.24	Valencia - Osasuna	0:0
15.04.24	Osasuna - Valencia	0:1
27.08.23	Valencia - Osasuna	1:2
11.03.23	Valencia - Osasuna	1:0
07.10.22	Osasuna - Valencia	1:2
16.04.22	Valencia - Osasuna	1:2

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