Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 20

Date: 22 January 2023, Sunday


	Osasuna B		Castellón

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	2.9
	2.25	2.9	3
	2.32	2.9	3
	2.29	3	2.95
	2.42	2.98	3.16
	2.41	3.02	3.04
	2.31	3	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (1.93)	2.99 ↑ (2.9)	3.01 ↓ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osasuna B
39.2%

Draw
30.5%

Castellón
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

31.6%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

31.2%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osasuna B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Osasuna B's form might have worsened.

Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Castellón's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osasuna B than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Osasuna B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Castellón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Osasuna B - Castellón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Castellón could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Osasuna B will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Osasuna B won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Osasuna B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
14.01.23	Alcoyano - Osasuna B	0:1 ✺
08.01.23	Numancia - Osasuna B	4:1 ✺
18.12.22	Osasuna B - Sabadell	2:0 ✺
11.12.22	Real Unión de Irun - Osasuna B	1:0 ✺
08.12.22	Osasuna B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLWLW
- CD Castellón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
15.01.23	Castellón - UD Logroñés	0:0 ✺
08.01.23	Real Unión de Irun - Castellón	1:1 ✺
17.12.22	Castellón - Real Sociedad B	1:1 ✺
11.12.22	Calahorra - Castellón	1:1 ✺
07.12.22	Castellón - Numancia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 TTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
02.10.22	Castellón - Osasuna B	2:0

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