Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 18

Date: 8 January 2023, Sunday


	Real Unión de Irun		Castellón

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.1	1.91
	3.5	3.1	1.95
	4.15	2.9	1.92
	3.45	3.15	2
	4.29	3.13	1.98
	3.3	2.9	2.2
	4.05	3.05	1.93
	3.45	3.15	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.75 ↑ (3.28)	3.06 ↓ (3.1)	1.99 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Unión de Irun
24.3%

Draw
29.8%

Castellón
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

29.6%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

28.5%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Unión de Irun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Unión de Irun than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	42.9%	14.3%

Real Unión de Irun - Castellón Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Real Unión will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Castellón will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Castellón will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Unión de Irun
Spanish Copa del Rey
20.12.22	Real Unión de Irun - Mallorca	0:1 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
17.12.22	Barcelona B - Real Unión de Irun	2:1 ✺
11.12.22	Real Unión de Irun - Osasuna B	1:0 ✺
08.12.22	Sabadell - Real Unión de Irun	0:1 ✺
04.12.22	Numancia - Real Unión de Irun	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.6 LLWWW
- CD Castellón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
17.12.22	Castellón - Real Sociedad B	1:1 ✺
11.12.22	Calahorra - Castellón	1:1 ✺
07.12.22	Castellón - Numancia	0:1 ✺
03.12.22	SD Logroñés - Castellón	2:1 ✺
26.11.22	Castellón - Real Murcia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TTLLW

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