Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 19

Date: 14 January 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Collao (Alcoy)


	Alcoyano		Osasuna B

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.75	2.7
	2.5	2.9	2.6
	2.45	2.9	2.8
	2.55	2.95	2.65
	2.73	2.95	2.79
	2.61	2.88	2.75
	2.6	2.95	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.22)	2.9 ↑ (2.88)	2.71 ↓ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcoyano
35.1%

Draw
31.4%

Osasuna B
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

31.9%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

31.4%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcoyano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alcoyano's form might have worsened.

Osasuna B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Osasuna B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcoyano than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alcoyano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osasuna B than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Osasuna B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alcoyano - Osasuna B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

Alcoyano is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Osasuna B is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Alcoyano
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
08.01.23	La Nucía - Alcoyano	1:1 ✺
18.12.22	Alcoyano - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:1 ✺
11.12.22	Intercity - Alcoyano	4:1 ✺
08.12.22	Alcoyano - Athletic Bilbao B	3:3 ✺
04.12.22	Real Murcia - Alcoyano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TTLTL
- Osasuna B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
08.01.23	Numancia - Osasuna B	4:1 ✺
18.12.22	Osasuna B - Sabadell	2:0 ✺
11.12.22	Real Unión de Irun - Osasuna B	1:0 ✺
08.12.22	Osasuna B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	3:0 ✺
03.12.22	Real Sociedad B - Osasuna B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLWT

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