Match Info

Date: 29 July 2021, Thursday


	Osijek		Pogoń Szczecin

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.1	2.85	3.5	Watch
	2.1	3	4
	2.09	2.9	3.35
	2.1	2.89	3.44
	2	2.9	3.6
	2.08	3.14	3.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.87)	2.95 ↓ (3.28)	3.57 ↓ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osijek
43.7%

Draw
30.8%

Pogoń Szczecin
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

27.9%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

18%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osijek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Osijek's form might have worsened.

Pogoń Szczecin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osijek than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Osijek that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pogoń Szczecin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.9%	14.6%	4.5%

Osijek - Pogoń Szczecin Predictions

Users Predictions: Osijek will win (72 of 89 users predict this - 80.9%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.73% – 89.07%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-0.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Pogoń Szczecin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Osijek will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Osijek won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Osijek
Croatian HNL
25.07.21	Hajduk Split - Osijek	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.07.21	Pogoń Szczecin - Osijek	0:0 ✺
Croatian HNL
16.07.21	Osijek - Šibenik	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
10.07.21	Osijek - Bačka Topola	3:0 ✺
03.07.21	Osijek - Zalaegerszegi TE	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTWWT
- Pogoń Szczecin
Polish Ekstraklasa
25.07.21	Pogoń Szczecin - Górnik Zabrze	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.07.21	Pogoń Szczecin - Osijek	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.07.21	Warta Poznań - Pogoń Szczecin	1:2 ✺
29.06.21	Pogoń Szczecin - Ružomberok	0:1 ✺
25.06.21	Zagłębie Lubin - Pogoń Szczecin	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
22.07.21	Pogoń Szczecin - Osijek	0:0

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