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Current Win Probability
Hajduk Split 44.1%
Draw 25.8%
Osijek 30%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.1%
23.5%
23.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.6%
23.7%
23.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hajduk Split has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hajduk Split's form might have worsened.
Osijek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Osijek's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hajduk Split than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hajduk Split, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osijek than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Osijek, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
62.5%
12.5%
25%
Hajduk Split - Osijek Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Hajduk will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Osijek will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Hajduk: 29% – 96%.
33. Silic T. (G) 38. Hodak L. 3. Gabric R. 5. Van Hoorenbeeck A. 17. Melnjak D. 20. del Moral A. 4. Pajaziti A. 16. Sutalo A. 19. Brruti E. 26. Guram A. 10. Livaja M. (C)
31. Malenica M. (C) 77. Mustafic S. 49. Kolarik I. 26. Jelenic L. 22. Jurisic R. 39. Bukvic D. 23. Vrbancic L. 8. Mikolcic S. 11. Omerovic N. 17. Jakupovic A. 79. Leon A.
Substitutes
9. de Almeida D. 32. Hrgovic S. 1. Ivusic I. (G) 15. Maresic D. 21. Pukstas R. 14. Raci R. 7. Sanyang A. 11. Sego M. 36. Skelin M. 23. Soticek M. 44. Stipica D. (G)
67. Bakti B. 99. Balelo 1. Curcija N. (G) 7. Dolcek I. 18. Farkas N. 33. Hasic E. 2. Heister M. 98. Jovicic M. 47. Kalem D. 30. Ljatifi A. 16. Petrusenko O. 24. Posavec L.
Coaches
Garcia G.
Bessone F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Brruti E. ⚽, Melnjak D. (A),
34', Mustafic S. 🟥,
36', Jakupovic A. ↓, Heister M. ↑,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Bukvic D. ↓, Dolcek I. ↑,
46', Mikolcic S. ↓, Petrusenko O. ↑,
53', Petrusenko O. 🟨,
54', 2 - 0, Livaja M. ⚽, Guram A. (A),
58', Livaja M. 🟨,
61', Hodak L. 🟨,
62', Omerovic N. ↓, Ljatifi A. ↑,
64', Guram A. ↓, Sanyang A. ↑,
64', Brruti E. ↓, Soticek M. ↑,
64', Livaja M. ↓, Sego M. ↑,
72', Sutalo A. ↓, de Almeida D. ↑,
72', Hodak L. ↓, Hrgovic S. ↑,
73', Leon A. ↓, Balelo ↑,
79', de Almeida D. 🟨,
83', 3 - 0, Sanyang A. ⚽, Soticek M. (A),
90', 4 - 0, Hrgovic S. ⚽, de Almeida D. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hajduk won 3.
At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
Hajduk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Hajduk could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Hajduk: Brajkovic R.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Osijek: Caic V.
(Inactive)
Matkovic A.
(Knee Injury)
Mejia Moscoso D. M.
(Knee Injury)
Shopov S.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hajduk won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:15. (average 1.4:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Hajduk won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 1.6:0.7).
Bosnia-and-herzegovina
Croatia
Usa
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Silic T. (G) 
Van Hoorenbeeck A. 
del Moral A. 
Pajaziti A. 
Guram A. 
Mustafic S. 
Jakupovic A. 
Leon A. 
Pukstas R. 
Raci R. 
Sanyang A. 
Bakti B. 
Balelo 
Curcija N. (G) 
Hasic E. 
Heister M. 
Ljatifi A. 
Bessone F. 
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