Match Info

3. Liga - Round 29

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion an der Bremer Brück (Osnabrück)

Referee: Grund F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport
World	Onefootball


	Osnabrück		Waldhof Mannheim

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.8	4.75	Watch
	1.6	3.95	4.85
	1.65	4.1	5.02
	1.66	4.14	4.46	Watch
	1.53	3.8	5
	1.65	3.9	4.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.98)	3.95 ↑ (3.4)	4.83 ↑ (3.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osnabrück
57.4%

Draw
23.5%

Waldhof Mannheim
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

27.3%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

25.6%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osnabrück has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Osnabrück's performance.

Waldhof Mannheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Waldhof Mannheim might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osnabrück than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Osnabrück that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waldhof Mannheim than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Osnabrück - Waldhof Mannheim Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Osnabrück (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Osnabrück will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Jonsson L. (G) 27. Fabinski R. 24. Muller J. 25. Wiemann N. 29. Kopacz D. 26. Wagner F. 31. Kammerbauer P. 15. Jacobsen B. 37. Badjie I. 18. Kehl L. 11. Meissner R.	1. Nijhuis T. (G) 24. Klunter L. 6. Hoffmann N. 5. Ogbemudia O. 25. Ba S. 21. Rieckmann J. 28. Michel D. 17. Abifade S. 41. Kryeziu D. 7. Bierschenk L. 9. Lohkemper F.
Substitutes
3. Christensen F. 9. Kania J. 4. Karademir Y. 23. Lesueur T. 10. Proger K. 22. Riesselmann B. 1. Sauter N. (G) 8. Tesche R. 19. Wiethaup K.	20. Asallari K. 14. Iwe E. 38. Masca 35. Mendes D. 29. Muteba NTumba N. X. 16. Niemann J. (G) 12. Thill V. 18. Yigit S.
Coaches
Schultz T.	Holtz L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Kopacz D. ⚽,
15', Klunter L. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Michel D. 🟨,
54', 2 - 0, Meissner R. ⚽, Kehl L. (A),
55', Bierschenk L. ↓, Asallari K. ↑,
55', Michel D. ↓, Masca ↑,
57', Badjie I. ↓, Christensen F. ↑,
60', Ogbemudia O. 🟨,
66', Kryeziu D. ↓, Thill V. ↑,
66', Abifade S. ↓, Mendes D. ↑,
69', 3 - 0, Meissner R. ⚽,
70', Kammerbauer P. ↓, Proger K. ↑,
70', Kopacz D. ↓, Lesueur T. ↑,
77', Jacobsen B. 🟨,
80', Kehl L. ↓, Kania J. ↑,
80', Wagner F. ↓, Tesche R. ↑,
85', 4 - 0, Fabinski R. ⚽,
86', Rieckmann J. 🟨,
88', Proger K. 🟨,
90+4', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Osnabrück won 3.

Osnabrück has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Waldhof has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Osnabrück is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Osnabrück won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 2.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Osnabrück won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Mannheim	8	4	1	3	16:11	5	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Osnabrück
German 3 Bundesliga
07.03.26	Jahn Regensburg - Osnabrück	0:2 ✺
03.03.26	Osnabrück - Viktoria Köln	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Erzgebirge Aue - Osnabrück	1:3 ✺
21.02.26	Osnabrück - Rot-Weiß Essen	3:0 ✺
14.02.26	Hansa Rostock - Osnabrück	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWWWT
- Waldhof Mannheim
German 3 Bundesliga
08.03.26	Waldhof Mannheim - TSV Havelse	3:1 ✺
04.03.26	Rot-Weiß Essen - Waldhof Mannheim	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Waldhof Mannheim - Alemannia Aachen	2:1 ✺
20.02.26	VfB Stuttgart II - Waldhof Mannheim	3:1 ✺
15.02.26	Energie Cottbus - Waldhof Mannheim	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
04.10.25	Waldhof Mannheim - Osnabrück	1:4
23.02.25	Osnabrück - Waldhof Mannheim	1:1
21.09.24	Waldhof Mannheim - Osnabrück	3:2
25.03.23	Waldhof Mannheim - Osnabrück	0:2
01.10.22	Osnabrück - Waldhof Mannheim	5:0
23.04.22	Osnabrück - Waldhof Mannheim	1:2
21.11.21	Waldhof Mannheim - Osnabrück	3:3

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