Match Info

3. Liga - Round 27

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stadion an der Hafenstrasse (Essen)

Referee: Kernchen L. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 6
Germany	DFB Play, Magenta Sport, tv.dfb.de
Slovakia	Arena sport 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Onefootball


	Rot-Weiß Essen		Waldhof Mannheim

	1	X	2
	1.9	4	3.3	Watch
	1.83	3.75	3.8
	1.82	3.9	3.6	Watch
	1.9	3.85	3.86
	1.79	4.16	3.72	Watch
	1.85	3.6	3.25
	1.98	4.04	3.17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.78)	3.9 ↓ (3.98)	3.53 ↓ (3.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rot-Weiß Essen
49.8%

Draw
23.8%

Waldhof Mannheim
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

23.4%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

24%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rot-Weiß Essen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Waldhof Mannheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rot-Weiß Essen than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waldhof Mannheim than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	15.4%	15.4%

Rot Weiß Essen - Waldhof Mannheim Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Rot-Weiß Essen will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Waldhof will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rot-Weiß Essen: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rot-Weiß Essen (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Waldhof (3.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Waldhof (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Rot-Weiß Essen (votes: 2 - 50%). Waldhof (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Wienand F. (G) 37. Hofmann J. 23. Rios Alonso J. 4. Schultz M. (C) 14. Brumme L. 8. Gjasula K. 26. Musel T. 10. Obuz M. 24. Mizuta K. 11. Abiama D. 20. Janssen M.	1. Nijhuis T. (G) 24. Klunter L. 6. Hoffmann N. 5. Ogbemudia O. 22. Sietan J. 25. Ba S. 28. Michel D. 17. Abifade S. 21. Rieckmann J. 27. Diakhaby A. 13. Boyd T.
Substitutes
19. Bouebari F. 13. Casali T. (G) 9. Cuber Potocnik J. 15. Huning B. 18. Kaiser N. 2. Kostka M. 16. Reisig R. 7. Safi R. 22. Schmidt D.	20. Asallari K. 7. Bierschenk L. 41. Kryeziu D. 9. Lohkemper F. 38. Masca 35. Mendes D. . Muteba NTumba N. X. 16. Niemann J. (G) 12. Thill V.
Coaches
Koschinat U.	Holtz L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Janssen M. ⚽, Schultz M. (A),
33', Gjasula K. 🟨,
43', Michel D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Michel D. ↓, Bierschenk L. ↑,
56', Wienand F. ↓, Casali T. ↑,
60', Abifade S. ↓, Mendes D. ↑,
60', Rieckmann J. ↓, Lohkemper F. ↑,
67', Boyd T. 🟥,
72', Klunter L. 🟨,
81', Diakhaby A. ↓, Asallari K. ↑,
83', Janssen M. ↓, Cuber Potocnik J. ↑,
83', Abiama D. ↓, Safi R. ↑,
90', Mizuta K. ↓, Reisig R. ↑,
90', Brumme L. ↓, Bouebari F. ↑,
90+3', Hofmann J. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rot-Weiß Essen won 3.

Rot-Weiß Essen has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Waldhof is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Waldhof may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Rot-Weiß Essen is seen as the favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Rot-Weiß Essen won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Rot-Weiß Essen won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Outrights of German 3 Bundesliga for now

RW Essen: 19% Mannheim: 3.04%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	RW Essen	8	4	3	1	16:12	4	15
6	Mannheim	8	4	1	3	16:11	5	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rot-Weiß Essen
German 3 Bundesliga
28.02.26	Hansa Rostock - Rot-Weiß Essen	3:2 ✺
21.02.26	Osnabrück - Rot-Weiß Essen	3:0 ✺
14.02.26	Rot-Weiß Essen - Jahn Regensburg	3:2 ✺
08.02.26	Alemannia Aachen - Rot-Weiß Essen	3:3 ✺
01.02.26	Rot-Weiß Essen - Wehen Wiesbaden	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWTT
- Waldhof Mannheim
German 3 Bundesliga
01.03.26	Waldhof Mannheim - Alemannia Aachen	2:1 ✺
20.02.26	VfB Stuttgart II - Waldhof Mannheim	3:1 ✺
15.02.26	Energie Cottbus - Waldhof Mannheim	1:1 ✺
06.02.26	Waldhof Mannheim - Ulm 1846	2:1 ✺
31.01.26	Viktoria Köln - Waldhof Mannheim	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
27.09.25	Waldhof Mannheim - Rot-Weiß Essen	6:1
09.03.25	Rot-Weiß Essen - Waldhof Mannheim	1:0
28.09.24	Waldhof Mannheim - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:0
21.04.24	Waldhof Mannheim - Rot-Weiß Essen	0:2
12.11.23	Rot-Weiß Essen - Waldhof Mannheim	2:0
16.04.23	Rot-Weiß Essen - Waldhof Mannheim	0:3
22.10.22	Waldhof Mannheim - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:2

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