Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 12

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday


	Ostia Mare		Sammaurese

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.78	5.22
	1.65	3.7	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.7)	3.74 ↑ (3.55)	4.86 ↑ (4.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ostia Mare
56.9%

Draw
24.3%

Sammaurese
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

25.7%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

24.3%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ostia Mare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Sammaurese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ostia Mare than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sammaurese than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Ostia Mare - Sammaurese Predictions

Users Predictions: Ostia Mare will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ostia Mare will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Vianni S. ⚽,
2nd Half (6 - 0)
56', 2 - 0, ⚽,
56', 3 - 0, ⚽,
72', 4 - 0, ⚽,
72', 5 - 0, ⚽,
85', 6 - 0, ⚽,
90+9', 7 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Ostia Mare is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sammaurese has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Ostia Mare is considered a favorite.

We predict that Ostia Mare will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Ostia Mare Lido Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
09.11.25	UniPomezia - Ostia Mare	0:2 ✺
02.11.25	Ostia Mare - Teramo	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Castelfidardo - Ostia Mare	0:3 ✺
19.10.25	Ostia Mare - Fossombrone	3:1 ✺
05.10.25	Ostia Mare - Sora	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WTWWW
- AC Sammaurese
Italian Serie D - Group F
09.11.25	Sammaurese - Notaresco	2:2 ✺
02.11.25	Sammaurese - Fossombrone	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	Teramo - Sammaurese	3:0 ✺
19.10.25	Sammaurese - Vigor Senigallia	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	Sora - Sammaurese	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLL

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