Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 32

Date: 17 April 2025, Thursday


	Ostia Mare		San Donato Tavarnelle

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3.47
	2.07	3	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (2.07)	3.05 ↑ (3)	3.39 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ostia Mare
43.2%

Draw
29.9%

San Donato Tavarnelle
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

29.8%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

29.6%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Ostia Mare have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

San Donato Tavarnelle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ostia Mare than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

The ML Model estimate for San Donato Tavarnelle aligns with the current prediction.

Ostia Mare - San Donato Tavarnelle Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 and 11).

Ostia Mare is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches San Donato is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ostia Mare will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ostia Mare won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.7:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Ostia Mare won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Ostia Mare Lido Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group E
13.04.25	Ostia Mare - Grosseto	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Ostia Mare	4:3 ✺
30.03.25	Ostia Mare - Trestina	2:1 ✺
23.03.25	Fezzanese - Ostia Mare	0:1 ✺
09.03.25	Ostia Mare - Fulgens Foligno	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WLWWT
- San Donato Tavarnelle
Italian Serie D - Group E
13.04.25	San Donato Tavarnelle - Fezzanese	4:1 ✺
08.04.25	Grosseto - San Donato Tavarnelle	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	San Donato Tavarnelle - Follonica Gavorrano	0:1 ✺
23.03.25	Trestina - San Donato Tavarnelle	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	San Donato Tavarnelle - Figline	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
08.12.24	San Donato Tavarnelle - Ostia Mare	1:1
09.05.21	San Donato Tavarnelle - Ostia Mare	1:1
10.01.21	Ostia Mare - San Donato Tavarnelle	3:0

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