Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 23

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday


	Sora		Ostia Mare

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.55	1.75
	3.91	3.68	1.77	Watch
	4.12	3.54	1.74
	3.8	3.6	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.91 ↑ (3.8)	3.59 ↑ (3.55)	1.76 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sora
23.2%

Draw
25.2%

Ostia Mare
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

25.2%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

24.5%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Ostia Mare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sora than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ostia Mare than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Sora - Ostia Mare Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Ostia Mare is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sora won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD GC Sora
Italian Serie D - Group F
01.02.26	Fossombrone - Sora	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	Maceratese - Sora	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Sora - Vigor Senigallia	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Chieti - Sora	3:2 ✺
04.01.26	Sora - Giulianova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TWLLW
- AS Ostia Mare Lido Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
01.02.26	Ostia Mare - Atletico Ascoli	2:2 ✺
25.01.26	Vigor Senigallia - Ostia Mare	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Ostia Mare - San Marino Calcio	5:0 ✺
11.01.26	Maceratese - Ostia Mare	1:3 ✺
04.01.26	Ostia Mare - Ancona	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
05.10.25	Ostia Mare - Sora	3:1

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