Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 26

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Nicola Tubaldi (Recanati)


	Recanatese		UniPomezia

	1	X	2
	2.48	3.15	2.52
	2.59	3.36	2.44	Watch
	2.57	3.25	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.33)	3.25 ↑ (3.13)	2.45 ↓ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Recanatese
35.5%

Draw
27.8%

UniPomezia
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

29%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

30.2%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Recanatese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

UniPomezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Recanatese than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UniPomezia than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for UniPomezia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Recanatese - UniPomezia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Amadio A. ⚽,
34', 0 - 2, de Santis I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: ) and 11).

Recanatese is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

UniPomezia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Recanatese won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Recanatese	6	1	3	2	8:9	-1	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Recanatese 1923
Italian Serie D - Group F
22.02.26	Recanatese - Atletico Ascoli	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Ostia Mare - Recanatese	4:1 ✺
08.02.26	Recanatese - Ancona	2:4 ✺
01.02.26	San Marino Calcio - Recanatese	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Recanatese - L Aquila	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLLTL
- ASD UniPomezia
Italian Serie D - Group F
22.02.26	UniPomezia - Ancona	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	San Marino Calcio - UniPomezia	0:4 ✺
08.02.26	UniPomezia - L Aquila	3:1 ✺
01.02.26	Termoli - UniPomezia	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	UniPomezia - Sammaurese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
26.10.25	UniPomezia - Recanatese	1:0

Recanatese - UniPomezia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide