Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 22

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday


	Ostia Mare		Atletico Ascoli

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.35	3.95
	1.78	3.52	4.06	Watch
	1.75	3.45	4.18
	1.8	3.4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.82)	3.43 ↑ (3.4)	4.05 ↑ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ostia Mare
51.1%

Draw
26.5%

Atletico Ascoli
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

26.5%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

26%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ostia Mare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Atletico Ascoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ostia Mare than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atletico Ascoli than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Ostia Mare - Atletico Ascoli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
39', 1 - 0, Spinosa M. ⚽,
45+8', 1 - 1, Sardo M. ⚽,
45+8', 1 - 2, Forgione C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+29', 2 - 2, Donsah G. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Ostia Mare is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ostia Mare won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Atletico Ascoli	6	2	1	3	6:8	-2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Ostia Mare Lido Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
25.01.26	Vigor Senigallia - Ostia Mare	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Ostia Mare - San Marino Calcio	5:0 ✺
11.01.26	Maceratese - Ostia Mare	1:3 ✺
04.01.26	Ostia Mare - Ancona	0:1 ✺
21.12.25	Ostia Mare - Giulianova	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWWLT
- Atletico Ascoli
Italian Serie D - Group F
25.01.26	Atletico Ascoli - Termoli	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Ancona - Atletico Ascoli	2:1 ✺
11.01.26	Atletico Ascoli - Notaresco	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	L Aquila - Atletico Ascoli	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Teramo - Atletico Ascoli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
28.09.25	Atletico Ascoli - Ostia Mare	0:2

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