Match Info

CYPRUS: CYTA CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 17

Date: 3 January 2024, Wednesday

Location: Ammochostos Stadium (Larnaca)

Referee: Fotiou K. (Cyp)


	Othellos Athienou		AEK Larnaca

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.9	1.55
	5	4.2	1.57	Watch
	5.46	4.18	1.59
	5.59	4.2	1.58
	5.5	4.2	1.44
	5.39	4.2	1.55	Watch
	5.2	4.1	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.27 ↑ (5)	4.14 ↑ (4.05)	1.55 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Othellos Athienou
17.6%

Draw
22.4%

AEK Larnaca
59.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.7%

23%

58.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.5%

22.8%

58.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Othellos Athienou has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

AEK Larnaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Othellos Athienou than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Larnaca than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.6%	17.6%	64.7%

Othellos Athienou - AEK Larnaca Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Othellos Athienou will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). AEK Larnaca will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AEK Larnaca: 42% – 87.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Panagiotou P. (G) 28. Anang B. 16. Garcia Perez J. L. 3. Jansen Q. 15. Kastanas K. 6. Lucas Ramos 4. Nardini E. 77. Oueslati H. 13. Popescu C. 2. Stamoulis K. 9. Suto M.	1. Piric K. (G) 71. Diemers M. 2. Dionkou A. 11. Faraj I. 45. Gyurcso A. 7. Ledes Gustavo 15. Milicevic H. (C) 17. Pons P. 27. Roberge V. 9. Sol F. 8. Tongya F.
Substitutes
8. Christodoulou G. 18. Hadjipaschalis C. 90. Ioannou L. 14. Katsiati G. 5. Kyriakou K. . Mallouri A. (G) 43. Taudul M. (G) 1. Tziakouris D. (G)	5. Casas I. 16. Gama B. 23. Herrerin I. (G) 10. Ivan T. 18. Kaptoum W. 66. Mamas R. 29. Naoum G. 12. Rafa Lopes 28. Sanchez F. 20. Santos 4. Tomovic N. 38. Toumpas I. (G)
Coaches
Scasny M.	Shimon R. B.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Cyta Championship (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Cyta Championship (Championship Group: )).

Recent matches Othellos Athienou is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

AEK Larnaca in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Othellos Athienou have a series of home games.

In this match AEK Larnaca is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Othellos Athienou won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Othellos Athienou won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Othellos Athienou
Cypriot First Division
21.12.23	Othellos Athienou - Ethnikos Achna	2:1 ✺
16.12.23	Anorthosis - Othellos Athienou	2:1 ✺
Cypriot Cup
13.12.23	Othellos Athienou - Digenis Akritas Morphou	4:1 ✺
Cypriot First Division
08.12.23	Othellos Athienou - Apollon Limassol	0:3 ✺
01.12.23	Othellos Athienou - Omonia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWLL
- AEK Larnaca
Cypriot First Division
22.12.23	AEK Larnaca - Doxa Katokopias	2:1 ✺
16.12.23	Ethnikos Achna - AEK Larnaca	0:3 ✺
09.12.23	AEK Larnaca - Aris Limassol	2:1 ✺
02.12.23	Anorthosis - AEK Larnaca	0:0 ✺
27.11.23	AEK Larnaca - AEL Limassol	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Cypriot First Division
16.09.23	AEK Larnaca - Othellos Athienou	3:2
07.02.15	AEK Larnaca - Othellos Athienou	2:2
02.11.14	Othellos Athienou - AEK Larnaca	1:1

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