Match Info

Cyprus League - Round 3

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Antonis Papadopoulos Stadium (Larnaca)

Referee: Chatzigeorgiou P. (Cyp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 1, Cablenet Sports 1


	Anorthosis		AEK Larnaca

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.4	1.71
	4.85	3.6	1.65
	4.4	3.68	1.78
	5.51	3.64	1.63	Watch
	5.02	3.62	1.71
	4.5	3.4	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.75 ↑ (4.5)	3.56 ↑ (3.4)	1.71 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anorthosis
19.5%

Draw
26.1%

AEK Larnaca
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.4%

27%

52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

26.1%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anorthosis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

AEK Larnaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anorthosis than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Larnaca than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Anorthosis - AEK Larnaca Predictions

Users Predictions: AEK Larnaca will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): AEK Larnaca will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Panagi K. (G) 45. Gabriel Furtado 70. Ilia M. 48. Ioannou M. (C) 23. Katelaris F. 5. Kiko 30. Rodriguez A. 33. Schattin T. 2. Thandi S. 11. Theodorou D. 9. Vukic S.	1. Alomerovic Z. (G) 30. Cabrera E. 18. Chacon Y. 22. Ekpolo G. 93. Gnali J. 9. Ivanovic D. 6. Jimmy Suarez 15. Milicevic H. (C) 21. Miramon 17. Pons P. 27. Roberge V.
Substitutes
20. Aboagye C. 4. Artymatas K. 31. Bergstrom E. 88. Chrysostomou A. 47. Karamanolis A. 17. Paroutis D. 10. Ramirez I. 7. Richard 39. Rogic L. (G) 22. Sergiou K. 15. Silva L. 32. Sosa Vivaldi F. E.	20. Amyn Y. 19. Angielski K. 11. Bajic R. 99. Demetriou D. (G) 2. Ioannou P. 3. Izquierdo J. 7. Ledes Gustavo 41. Mathias Gonzalez 51. Paraskevas A. (G) 8. Rohden M. 10. Rubio W. 4. Saborit E.
Coaches
Ketsbaia T.	Idiakez I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', Chacon Y. ↓, Rubio W. ↑,
26', Ivanovic D. 🟨,
31', Panagi K. 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, Milicevic H. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rodriguez A. ↓, Sosa Vivaldi F. E. ↑,
46', Ivanovic D. ↓, Ledes Gustavo ↑,
57', Ilia M. ↓, Richard ↑,
59', Katelaris F. 🟨,
60', Ioannou M. 🟨,
64', Schattin T. ↓, Silva L. ↑,
64', Ioannou M. ↓, Aboagye C. ↑,
67', 1 - 1, Sosa Vivaldi F. E. ⚽,
77', Gnali J. ↓, Izquierdo J. ↑,
77', Miramon ↓, Amyn Y. ↑,
79', Katelaris F. ↓, Bergstrom E. ↑,
80', Cabrera E. 🟨,
81', Aboagye C. 🟨,
82', Theodorou D. 🟨,
86', Pons P. ↓, Angielski K. ↑,
89', Roberge V. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Anorthosis won 0.

Anorthosis has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

AEK Larnaca's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, AEK Larnaca is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Anorthosis: van Nieff Y. (Inactive)

There will not play in AEK Larnaca: Garcia A. (Muscle Injury) Naoum G. (Muscle Injury) Rohden M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Anorthosis: Chrysostomou A. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Anorthosis won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 14:27. (average 0.7:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Anorthosis won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 0.9:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anorthosis Famagusta
Cypriot First Division
30.08.25	Olympiacos Nicosia - Anorthosis	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	Anorthosis - Omonia Aradippou	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
13.08.25	Anorthosis - Olympiacos Nicosia	0:2 ✺
11.08.25	Anorthosis - APOEL	0:3 ✺
02.08.25	Ethnikos Achna - Anorthosis	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLLT
- AEK Larnaca
Cypriot First Division
31.08.25	AEK Larnaca - AEL Limassol	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.08.25	AEK Larnaca - Brann	0:4 ✺
21.08.25	Brann - AEK Larnaca	2:1 ✺
14.08.25	Legia Warsaw - AEK Larnaca	2:1 ✺
07.08.25	AEK Larnaca - Legia Warsaw	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Cypriot First Division
25.01.25	Anorthosis - AEK Larnaca	2:2
20.10.24	AEK Larnaca - Anorthosis	1:0
28.04.24	AEK Larnaca - Anorthosis	1:1
17.03.24	Anorthosis - AEK Larnaca	0:1
17.02.24	AEK Larnaca - Anorthosis	1:0
02.12.23	Anorthosis - AEK Larnaca	0:0
07.01.23	Anorthosis - AEK Larnaca	0:0

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