Match Info

Prva Crnogorska Liga - Round 29

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Olympic (Ulcinj)


	Otrant		Petrovac

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.1	2.37
	2.44	3.2	2.65	Watch
	2.43	3.25	2.71	Watch
	2.35	3.14	2.74
	2.44	3.2	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (3.48)	3.18 ↓ (3.24)	2.62 ↑ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Otrant
36.9%

Draw
28.6%

Petrovac
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

28.1%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

27%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Otrant has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Otrant's performance.

Petrovac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Petrovac might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Otrant than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Otrant that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Petrovac than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Petrovac could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Otrant - Petrovac Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Otrant (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Otrant (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Otrant (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Ljuljanovic D. (G) 75. Filipovic S. 8. Gashi K. 66. Malesevic L. 10. Muharemovic H. (C) 98. Panadic M. 19. Raickovic M. 17. Sefa E. 22. Vico S. 24. Vukcevic P. 5. Vukotic N.	25. Kordic M. (G) 17. Arambasic S. 8. Bakic D. 10. Basic A. 33. Boljevic D. (C) 4. Franeta M. 26. Golubovic A. 55. Kapisoda A. 14. Petrovic Z. 6. Popovic Z. 77. Simun M.
Substitutes
1. Agovic J. (G) 21. Harada H. 23. Karamanaga E. 87. Mrvaljevic B. 4. Redzovic B. 11. Rudovic A. 30. Rudovic V. 29. Terzic V. 9. Vujacic A.	21. Carevic N. 44. Dedic R. 34. Djukanovic S. 11. Dragovic V. 98. Kordic V. 29. Pesukic D. 30. Pupovic A. 52. Scekic N. (G) 7. Zvrko N.
Coaches
Kaplanbegu D.	Vidojevic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Kapisoda A. ⚽,
39', Kapisoda A. 🟨,
44', Basic A. (Pen),
45', Agovic J. 🟨,
45+1', Popovic Z. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 1 - 1, Kapisoda A. (Own goal),
61', 2 - 1, Golubovic A. (Own goal),
62', 🟨,

Preview

Otrant is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Petrovac is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Petrovac will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Otrant won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:6 (average 1:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Otrant won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Otrant
Montenegrin First League
06.04.25	Otrant - Mornar Bar	6:2 ✺
02.04.25	Otrant - Bokelj	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Arsenal Tivat - Otrant	2:1 ✺
16.03.25	Otrant - Sutjeska	0:2 ✺
12.03.25	Budućnost Podgorica - Otrant	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLLL
- OFK Petrovac
Montenegrin First League
06.04.25	Petrovac - Budućnost Podgorica	3:3 ✺
02.04.25	Mornar Bar - Petrovac	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Petrovac - Dečić Tuzi	0:0 ✺
16.03.25	Bokelj - Petrovac	0:4 ✺
12.03.25	Petrovac - Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Montenegrin First League
22.02.25	Petrovac - Otrant	2:1
06.10.24	Otrant - Petrovac	0:1
11.08.24	Petrovac - Otrant	3:2

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