Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Round 6

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Den Dreef (Heverlee)

Referee: Van Driessche B. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	Sporza, Sporza
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Oud-Heverlee Leuven		Cercle Brugge

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.4	2.63	Watch
	2.50	3.60	2.65
	2.4	3.45	2.78	Watch
	2.51	3.65	2.82
	2.44	3.6	2.74	Watch
	2.45	3.6	2.75
	2.6	3.59	2.64	Watch
	2.47	3.55	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.78)	3.56 ↑ (3.53)	2.7 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oud-Heverlee Leuven
38.4%

Draw
26.6%

Cercle Brugge
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

26.6%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

24.6%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oud-Heverlee Leuven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Cercle Brugge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oud-Heverlee Leuven than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cercle Brugge than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	28.6%	28.6%

Oud Heverlee Leuven - Cercle Brugge Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Leuven will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Cercle Brugge will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. van den Heuvel D. (G) 5. Lawrence J. 3. Dussenne N. 34. Nyakossi R. 27. Gil O. 6. George W. 4. Verstraete B. 99. Opoku D. 18. Mirisola R. 8. Schrijvers S. (C) 9. Traore A. K.	1. Coucke G. (G) 5. Kakou E. 24. Kondo G. (C) 33. Caicedo R. 2. Diakite I. 15. Magnee G. 42. Mondele L. 12. Konate V. 8. Erick Nunes 13. Vanzeir D. 9. Ngoura S.
Substitutes
21. Balikwisha W. 30. Fontanarosa A. 19. Ikwuemesi C. 61. Jochmans O. (G) 24. Lakomy L. 26. Ogiwara T. 11. Teklab H. 17. Vaesen K. 20. Yamada S.	30. Akinsola T. 10. Amani L. 82. Colman L. 41. Kouassi K. 21. Lienard Y. (G) 71. Martens V. 22. Michal L. 7. Ouattara A. K. 28. van der Bruggen H.
Coaches
Simons T.	Friis L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Opoku D. ⚽, Schrijvers S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Vanzeir D. ↓, Akinsola T. ↑,
48', Schrijvers S. 🟨,
62', Erick Nunes ↓, Martens V. ↑,
63', Ngoura S. ↓, Kouassi K. ↑,
66', Konate V. 🟨,
70', Schrijvers S. ↓, Balikwisha W. ↑,
70', Traore A. K. ↓, Yamada S. ↑,
71', Kakou E. 🟨,
77', Konate V. ↓, Michal L. ↑,
78', Kakou E. ↓, Ouattara A. K. ↑,
81', Mondele L. 🟨,
90', Mirisola R. ↓, Vaesen K. ↑,
90+4', Gil O. 🟨,
90+5', Vaesen K. 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 1, Kouassi K. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Challenger Pro League and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leuven won 1.

Leuven is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Cercle Brugge is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Leuven may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Leuven: Addai E. (Inactive) Osifo M. (Inactive) Teklab H. (Inactive) Verlinden T. (Knee Injury) Vlietinck T. (Injury)

There will not play in Cercle Brugge: Adaramola T. (Inactive) Herrmann C. (Muscle Injury) Manneh A. (Inactive) Ndala J. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leuven won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 28:27. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Leuven won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:14. (average 1.9:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Leuven	7	1	1	5	5:13	-8	4
17	Cercle Brugge KSV	8	0	3	5	9:16	-7	3

Last Results with these Odds

Oud-Heverlee Leuven - the odds 2.78 are the expected chance of winning is 33.79%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Cercle Brugge - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 39.65%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
06.09.26	Beveren - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3:0 ✺
03.09.26	Gent - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Standard Liège	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Club Brugge	0:3 ✺
09.08.26	Charleroi - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Cercle Brugge
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
06.09.26	Cercle Brugge - Gent	0:3 ✺
29.08.26	Cercle Brugge - Lommel	0:1 ✺
23.08.26	Club Brugge - Cercle Brugge	1:0 ✺
14.08.26	Cercle Brugge - Sint-Truidense	3:3 ✺
08.08.26	Standard Liège - Cercle Brugge	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
21.12.25	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Cercle Brugge	0:2
08.11.25	Cercle Brugge - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1:2
22.12.24	Cercle Brugge - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1:0
18.08.24	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Cercle Brugge	1:1
16.12.23	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Cercle Brugge	1:2
07.10.23	Cercle Brugge - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3:2
10.02.23	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Cercle Brugge	0:0

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