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Current Win Probability
Oud-Heverlee Leuven 50.1%
Draw 25.3%
Lommel 24.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
51%
24.6%
24.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.3%
24%
23.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oud-Heverlee Leuven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Lommel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oud-Heverlee Leuven than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lommel than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
Oud Heverlee Leuven - Lommel Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Leuven will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Lommel will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. van den Heuvel D. (G) 5. Lawrence J. 28. Pletinckx E. 34. Nyakossi R. 99. Opoku D. 6. George W. 8. Schrijvers S. (C) 26. Ogiwara T. 24. Lakomy L. 18. Mirisola R. 21. Balikwisha W.
23. Pieklak M. (G) 2. van Duiven J. 3. Eyoma T. 14. Tolinsson J. 4. Adewoye S. 6. Pelupessy J. 41. Nypan S. 7. Talvitie J. 15. Schoofs L. (C) 11. Appuah S. 9. Konadu D.
Substitutes
7. Addai E. 30. Fontanarosa A. 19. Ikwuemesi C. 48. Kayo B. 72. Murru S. 17. Vaesen K. 77. Vlietinck T. 13. Vroman K. (G) 20. Yamada S.
46. Corthouts N. 44. Dada-Mascoll I. 47. Gooijer T. 22. Gordic D. 1. Ivezic N. (G) 34. Oware H. 73. Reumers A. 10. Reyners T. 8. Rommens N.
Coaches
Simons T.
Johnson L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
12', Ogiwara T. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Appuah S. ⚽, Konadu D. (A),
40', Adewoye S. 🟨,
45+2', Appuah S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Lakomy L. ↓, Addai E. ↑,
65', 1 - 1, Mirisola R. ⚽, Balikwisha W. (A),
67', 2 - 1, Addai E. ⚽, Opoku D. (A),
71', Mirisola R. 🟨,
73', Pelupessy J. ↓, Reyners T. ↑,
73', Tolinsson J. ↓, Rommens N. ↑,
80', Mirisola R. ↓, Vaesen K. ↑,
80', Opoku D. ↓, Vlietinck T. ↑,
80', Adewoye S. ↓, Oware H. ↑,
85', Appuah S. ↓, Corthouts N. ↑,
90+4', Ogiwara T. ↓, Fontanarosa A. ↑,
90+6', 2 - 2, van Duiven J. ⚽, Nypan S. (A),
Preview
A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 15th and 10th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leuven won 4.
In recent outings, Leuven has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Lommel is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Lommel could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Leuven holding a narrow advantage.
Confirmed absences for Leuven: Osifo M.
(Injury)
Traore A. K.
(Inactive)
Verlinden T.
(Knee Injury).
Confirmed absences for Lommel: Banguera Riascos J. A.
(Knee Injury)
Lama J.
(Inactive)
Seuntjens R.
(Heel Injury)
Wouters D.
(Calf Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Leuven has recorded 13 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 41:22 (averaging 2.1:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Leuven against this opponent, the record stands at 9 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 25:10 goals (averaging 2.3:0.9 per game).
Belgium
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van den Heuvel D. (G) 
Lawrence J. 
Pletinckx E. 
Nyakossi R. 
Ogiwara T. 
Lakomy L. 
Balikwisha W. 
Eyoma T. 
Tolinsson J. 
Pelupessy J. 
Nypan S. 
Talvitie J. 
Appuah S. 
Addai E. 
Fontanarosa A. 
Ikwuemesi C. 
Kayo B. 
Gordic D. 
Ivezic N. (G) 
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