Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Round 7

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Soevereinstadion (Lommel)

Referee: De Cremer W. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	Sporza, Sporza


	Lommel		KV Mechelen

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.40	2.40	Watch
	2.55	3.60	2.55
	2.60	3.40	2.55
	2.77	3.70	2.53
	2.58	3.59	2.58	Watch
	2.65	3.65	2.50
	2.70	3.52	2.59	Watch
	2.60	3.50	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.57)	3.55 ↑ (3.47)	2.52 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lommel
35.9%

Draw
26.7%

KV Mechelen
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

27.2%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

27.7%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lommel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

KV Mechelen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lommel than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Lommel - KV Mechelen Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Lommel will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Mechelen will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lommel (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Mechelen (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lommel (votes: 1 - 50%). Mechelen (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Pieklak M. (G) 2. van Duiven J. 3. Eyoma T. 8. Rommens N. 4. Adewoye S. 6. Pelupessy J. 7. Talvitie J. 15. Schoofs L. (C) 10. Reyners T. 11. Appuah S. 9. Konadu D.	13. Miras N. (G) 2. Marijnissen L. 44. Eerdhuijzen M. 3. Marsa J. 23. Michez S. 6. Hammar F. (C) 26. Praet D. 7. Koudou T. 17. Van Meirvenne C. 9. van Brederode M. 28. Boersma B.
Substitutes
60. Beirinckx L. 46. Corthouts N. 44. Dada-Mascoll I. 47. Gooijer T. 22. Gordic D. 1. Ivezic N. (G) 12. Odede E. 73. Reumers A. 17. Vandecraen E.	29. Antonio B. 11. Bafdili B. 20. Corbanie K. 30. Decherf M. 39. Decoene M. 1. De Wolf O. (G) 10. Kireev M. 19. Lohunanu-Mbasi M. 14. Raman B.
Coaches
Johnson L.	Vanderbiest F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Reyners T. 🟨,
45', Praet D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Michez S. 🟨,
60', Talvitie J. ↓, Corthouts N. ↑,
60', Van Meirvenne C. ↓, Raman B. ↑,
68', Rommens N. ↓, Gooijer T. ↑,
70', Eerdhuijzen M. 🟨,
72', Appuah S. ↓, Gordic D. ↑,
77', Michez S. ↓, Antonio B. ↑,
77', Marijnissen L. ↓, Decoene M. ↑,
86', Boersma B. ↓, Lohunanu-Mbasi M. ↑,
87', Hammar F. ↓, Decherf M. ↑,
90+3', Decherf M. 🟨,
90+4', van Duiven J. 🟨,

Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 12th and 16th).

In recent outings, Lommel has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Mechelen has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Mechelen could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Lommel: Banguera Riascos J. A. (Knee Injury) Lama J. (Inactive) Nypan S. (Inactive) Oware H. (Injury) Seuntjens R. (Inactive) Tolinsson J. (Injury).

Confirmed absences for Mechelen: Ayodele S. (Inactive) Diouf G. (Injury) Hjelde L. F. (Inactive) Salifou D. (Inactive) St. Jago T. (Injury) Struyf I. (Inactive) Van Ingelgom T. (Forearm injury) Vanrafelghem K. (Inactive).

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Lommel has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:9 (averaging 1.4:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Lommel against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 3:5 goals (averaging 1:1.7 per game).

Outrights of Belgian Jupiler Pro League for now

Lommel SK: 0.62% KV Mechelen: 0.5%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Lommel SK	8	3	2	3	9:9	0	11
18	KV Mechelen	7	0	3	4	5:14	-9	3

Last Results with these Odds

KV Mechelen - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 36.04%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lommel SK
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
12.09.26	Saint-Gilloise - Lommel	5:0 ✺
04.09.26	Lommel - Club Brugge	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Cercle Brugge - Lommel	0:1 ✺
23.08.26	Lommel - Westerlo	4:0 ✺
16.08.26	Lommel - Charleroi	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LLWWL
- KV Mechelen
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
11.09.26	KV Mechelen - Anderlecht	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	KV Mechelen - Westerlo	0:4 ✺
29.08.26	RAAL La Louvière - KV Mechelen	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Charleroi - KV Mechelen	2:0 ✺
16.08.26	KV Mechelen - Standard Liège	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
03.03.19	Lommel - KV Mechelen	1:1
17.11.18	KV Mechelen - Lommel	3:2
29.09.18	Lommel - KV Mechelen	0:3
17.08.18	KV Mechelen - Lommel	1:2
Club Friendly
26.03.15	Lommel - KV Mechelen	2:1

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